The Validity of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Approach to Forecast the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa

Table 4

The prediction results of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in East Africa for the next month as predicted by the ARIMA (3, 1, 3) model.

Date	Expected cases	Date	Expected cases
17/9/20	1286	2/10/2020	1454
18/9/20	1476	3/10/2020	1438
19/9/20	1166	4/10/2020	1408
20/9/20	1323	5/10/2020	1442
21/9/20	1443	6/10/2020	1474
22/9/20	1359	7/10/2020	1454
23/9/20	1267	8/10/2020	1447
24/9/20	1383	9/10/2020	1479
25/9/20	1440	10/10/2020	1492
26/9/20	1351	11/10/2020	1477
27/9/20	1337	12/10/2020	1485
28/9/20	1427	13/10/2020	1509
29/9/20	1434	14/10/2020	1513
30/9/20	1373	15/10/2020	1506
01/10/20	1396	16/10/2020	1519

Source: own computation, 2021.