The Validity of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Approach to Forecast the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa

Table 5

The prediction results of daily confirmed new COVID-19 cases in North Africa for the next month as predicted by the ARIMA (1, 1, 4) model.

Date	Expected cases	Date	Expected cases
17/9/20	3588	2/10/2020	3749
18/9/20	3504	3/10/2020	3783
19/9/20	3571	4/10/2020	3783
20/9/20	3533	5/10/2020	3815
21/9/20	3600	6/10/2020	3818
22/9/20	3570	7/10/2020	3847
23/9/20	3629	8/10/2020	3851
24/9/20	3607	9/10/2020	3879
25/9/20	3659	10/10/2020	3887
26/9/20	3643	11/10/2020	3911
27/9/20	3690	12/10/2020	3920
28/9/20	3678	13/10/2020	3944
29/9/20	3720	14/10/2020	3953
30/9/20	3714	15/10/2020	3976
01/10/20	3752	16/10/2020	3987

Source: own computation, 2021.