The Validity of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Approach to Forecast the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa

Table 8

The prediction epidemic results of the new COVID-19 in Southern Africa for the next month as predicted by the ARIMA (4,1,5) model.

Date	Expected cases	Date	Expected cases
17/9/20	1601	2/10/2020	1557
18/9/20	2063	3/10/2020	1640
19/9/20	2109	4/10/2020	1414
20/9/20	1857	5/10/2020	1047
21/9/20	1346	6/10/2020	810
22/9/20	1026	7/10/2020	865
23/9/20	1037	8/10/2020	1157
24/9/20	1381	9/10/2020	1451
25/9/20	1732	10/10/2020	1522
26/9/20	1831	11/10/2020	1319
27/9/20	1573	12/10/2020	996
28/9/20	1157	13/10/2020	795
29/9/20	872	14/10/2020	857
30/9/20	917	15/10/2020	1125
01/10/20	1230	16/10/2020	1389

Source: own computation, 2021.