Driving Factors and Peak Forecasting of Carbon Emissions from Public Buildings Based on LMDI-SD

Table 3

The results of the historical test of the carbon emission system model for public buildings.

Year	Total population (100 million people)			GDP (100 million yuan)			Carbon dioxide emissions from public buildings (100 million tons)
	Historical data	Simulation data	Relative error	Historical data	Simulation data	Relative error	Historical data	Simulation data	Relative error
2010	13.41	13.41	0.00	412119.30	407187.00	−0.01	5.34	5.49	0.03
2011	13.49	13.50	0.00	451682.75	432656.55	−0.04	6.07	5.96	−0.02
2012	13.59	13.59	0.00	487365.69	480419.69	−0.01	6.50	6.23	−0.04
2013	13.67	13.67	0.00	525380.21	522975.01	0.00	7.04	6.52	−0.07
2014	13.76	13.76	0.00	564258.35	556428.25	−0.01	6.88	6.74	−0.02
2015	13.83	13.83	0.00	603756.43	595354.23	−0.01	7.30	6.95	−0.05
2016	13.92	13.92	0.00	644811.87	638454.77	0.00	7.43	7.19	−0.03
2017	14.00	13.99	0.00	689303.89	669452.99	−0.03	7.68	7.55	−0.02
2018	14.05	14.05	0.00	735487.25	709196.15	−0.04	7.84	7.88	0.01
2019	14.10	14.11	0.00	779616.49	760457.68	−0.02	8.25	8.22	0.00