Driving Factors and Peak Forecasting of Carbon Emissions from Public Buildings Based on LMDI-SD

Table 4

Scenario simulation of carbon emission system indicators for public buildings.

Indicators		Scenario 1 (baseline scenario)	Scenario 2 (energy-saving scenario)	Scenario 3 (decarburization scenario)	Scenario 4 (carbon-negative scenario)
Economic	GDP growth rate/%	7	6	6	6
Environment	Afforestation area increase/10 thousand hectares	664	664	664	733
	Carbon conversion coefficient	1.12	1.12	1.12	2.36
Social	Proportion of research investment/%	12	12	17	17
	Education investment ratio/%	9.5	9.5	13	13
Energy	Elasticity of energy demand	0.5	0.37	0.37	0.37
	Energy structure adjustment factor	0.95	0.85	0.85	0.85