Supply Chain Resilience of Mineral Resources Industry in China
Table 3
Model results of mineral resources industrial reserve system (trillion yuan).
Year
Import
Reserves
S1: M
S2: M
S1: E
S2: E
S1: S
S2: S
S1 and S2: M
S1: E
S2: E
S1 and S2: S
2019
4.53
4.53
3.24
3.24
1.37
1.37
35.79
21.82
21.82
13.2
2020
4.76
4.76
3.48
3.48
1.45
1.45
38.26
23.19
23.19
13.2
2021
5.01
5.01
3.74
3.74
1.53
1.53
38.26
24.1
24.1
13.2
2022
5.26
5.26
4.01
4.01
1.61
1.61
38.26
24.56
24.56
13.2
2023
5.54
5.54
4.31
4.31
1.71
1.71
38.26
24.56
24.56
13.2
2024
5.82
5.82
4.63
4.63
1.8
1.8
38.26
24.17
24.17
13.2
2025
6.12
2.91
4.98
2.32
0.9
0.9
38.26
23.63
23.63
13.2
2026
6.44
6.12
5.35
4.98
1.91
1.91
38.26
22.93
20.27
13.2
2027
6.77
6.44
5.74
5.35
2.02
2.02
38.26
22.06
19.03
13.2
2028
7.12
6.77
6.17
5.74
2.13
2.13
38.26
21.01
17.58
13.2
2029
7.48
7.12
6.63
6.17
2.25
2.25
38.26
19.76
15.91
13.2
2030
7.87
7.48
7.12
6.63
2.38
2.38
38.26
18.31
14
13.2
2031
8.27
7.87
7.65
7.12
2.52
2.52
38.26
16.64
11.84
13.2
2032
8.7
8.27
8.22
7.65
2.66
2.66
38.26
14.73
9.4
13.2
2033
9.15
8.7
8.83
8.22
2.81
2.81
38.26
12.57
6.68
13.2
2034
9.62
9.15
9.48
8.83
2.97
2.97
38.26
10.14
3.64
13.2
2035
10.11
9.62
10.19
9.49
3.14
3.14
38.26
7.43
0.27
13.2
Note. S1 represents the scenario 1, S2 represents the scenario 2, M represents the mineral resources industry, E represents the mining industry, and S represents the smelting and processing industry. The reserves of mineral resources industry and smelting and processing industry are the same under scenario 1 and scenario 2.
