Research Article

Risk Assessment of Liver Metastasis in Pancreatic Cancer Patients Using Multiple Models Based on Machine Learning: A Large Population-Based Study

Table 2

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify risk factors related to liver metastasis for pancreatic cancer patients.

CharacteristicUnivariate logistic regressionMultivariate logistic regression
HR (95CI) valueHR (95CI) value

Age at PC diagnosis
 20-49RefRef
 50-691.05 (0.97-1.13)0.2270.75 (0.68-0.82)<0.001
 ≥700.82 (0.76-0.89)<0.0010.48 (0.43-0.53)<0.001
Gender
 FemaleRefRef
 Male1.23 (1.18-1.28)<0.0011.15 (1.1-1.2)<0.001
Year of PC diagnosis
 2010-2013RefRef
 2014-20181.08 (1.03-1.12)<0.0010.98 (0.93-1.03)0.358
Race, no. (%)
 WhiteRefRef
 Black1.17 (1.1-1.23)<0.0011.02 (0.95-1.09)0.58
 Other0.84 (0.78-0.9)<0.0010.88 (0.81-0.96)0.002
Primary tumor site
 Head of the pancreasRefRef
 Body of the pancreas2.21 (2.09-2.34)<0.0011.63 (1.53-1.73)<0.001
 Tail of the pancreas3.49 (3.31-3.69)<0.0013.23 (3.02-3.45)<0.001
 Overlapping lesion of the pancreas2.29 (2.17-2.42)<0.0011.63 (1.53-1.74)<0.001
AJCC T stage
 T1/T2RefRef
 T3/T41.55 (1.53-1.57)<0.0011.5 (1.47-1.52)<0.001
AJCC N stage
 N0RefRef
 N1/N21.89 (1.85-1.92)<0.0011.64 (1.56-1.73)<0.001
Tumor histology
 AdenocarcinomasRefRef
 Other0.44 (0.42-0.47)<0.0010.83 (0.78-0.88)<0.001
Tumor size
 0-2RefRef
 2-51.85 (1.71-2)<0.0011.69 (1.54-1.85)<0.001
 >53.64 (3.36-3.94)<0.0012.64 (2.4-2.9)<0.001
Number of nodes examined
 NoneRefRef
 One or more0.09 (0.08-0.1)<0.0010.44 (0.39-0.48)<0.001
Surgery
 NoRefRef
 Yes0.05 (0.05-0.06)<0.0010.1 (0.09-0.11)<0.001
Chemotherapy
 NoRefRef
 Yes0.87 (0.84-0.9)<0.0010.17 (0.16-0.19)<0.001
Radiotherapy
 NoRefRef
 Yes0.15 (0.14-0.16)<0.0011.08 (1.03-1.13)<0.001

Note: the univariate and multivariate logistic regression was established in all patients set. Abbreviations: AJCC: American Joint Committee on Cancer; PC: pancreatic cancer.