Prediction Model and Risk Quantification of Natural Gas Peak Production in Central Sichuan Paleo-Uplift Gas Reservoirs

Table 3

Calculation results of yield realization probability in different years.

Average annual production	P90	P80	P70	P60	P50	P40	P30	P20	P10
2030	89.60	109.51	126.10	142.69	159.28	179.19	195.78	212.38	235.60
2040	119.87	155.84	185.81	209.78	245.74	281.70	317.67	359.63	491.48
2049	81.20	98.60	116.11	130.50	145.22	159.50	174.22	191.19	208.79
2060	11.03	13.68	11.45	16.77	18.54	20.30	22.95	26.04	30.45