Research Article

Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery

Table 8

Diagnostic performances of the 2 nomograms for postoperative sepsis estimation.

VariablesTraining cohortValidation cohort

Model 1 (clinical variable)
 Cutoff score106106
 Sensitivity0.640.47
 Specificity0.820.85
 Positive predictive value0.290.33
 Negative predictive value0.950.91
 Positive likelihood ratio3.503.13
 Negative likelihood ratio0.440.62
Model 2 (clinical and inflammation variables)
 Cutoff score109109
 Sensitivity0.840.74
 Specificity0.730.78
 Positive predictive value0.270.35
 Negative predictive value0.970.95
 Positive likelihood ratio3.153.36
 Negative likelihood ratio0.220.33