Research Article

Establishment of Early Multi-Indicator Prediction Models of Moderately Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Table 1

Comparison of general data between the MAP and MSAP+SAP groups.

MAP (202 cases)MSAP+SAP (267 cases)

SexMale, (%)115 (56.93%)173 (64.79%)3.0000.083
Female, (%)87 (43.07%)94 (35.21%)
Age (years)58 (46, 70)45 (36,62)−5.999≤0.001
EtiologyBiliary, (%)140 (69.31%)113 (42.32%)39.764≤0.001
Hyperlipidemic, (%)32 (15.84%)109 (40.82%)
Alcoholic, (%)13 (6.44%)21 (7.87%)
Other, (%)17 (8.42%)24 (8.99%)
Vital signsTemperature (°C)36.6 (36.5, 36.8)36.8 (36.5, 37.3)−5.608≤0.001
Pulse rate (times/minute)77 (69, 82)97 (82, 108)−12.039≤0.001
Respiratory rate (times/minute)19 (18, 20)20 (19, 21)−7.469≤0.001
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg)130 (116, 145)131 (120, 145)−1.1140.265
Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg)80 (70, 87)80 (71, 90)−1.0430.297
Mean arterial pressure (mmHg)96.678 ± 13.98598.157 ± 14.5771.1070.269
ScoreAPACHE II6 (3.75, 8)6 (3, 8)−0.9550.339
BISAP1 (0, 1)2 (1, 2)−10.415≤0.001
MCTSI2 (2, 4)6 (4, 8)−12.468≤0.001
Ranson2 (1, 3)3 (2, 4)−7.309≤0.001
Underlying diseasesHypertension, (%)68 (33.66%)81 (30.34%)0.5870.444
Diabetes, (%)36 (17.82%)84 (31.46%)11.3970.001
Fatty liver, (%)67 (33.17%)131 (49.06%)11.9110.001
Hyperlipidemia, (%)50 (24.75%)136 (50.94%)32.946≤0.001
Hospitalization days (days)10 (8, 13)12 (9, 16)−3.592≤0.001
Hospitalization expenses (yuan)14841.670 (11016.618, 21544.135)29289.900 (18598.060, 50166.300)−10.130≤0.001

Note: MAP: mild acute pancreatitis; MSAP: moderately severe acute pancreatitis; SAP: severe acute pancreatitis; APACHE II: acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II; BISAP: bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis; MCTSI: modified computed tomography severity index.