A Practical Model for Predicting Esophageal Variceal Rebleeding in Patients with Hepatitis B-Associated Cirrhosis
Table 2
Univariate and multivariate logistic regression.
Rebleeding within 6 weeks
Rebleeding within 1 year
Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
OR (95% CI)
value
OR (95% CI)
value
OR (95% CI)
value
OR (95% CI)
value
Age
0.989 (0.956–1.023)
0.541
0.983 (0.962–1.005)
0.129
Gender
0.666 (0.236–1.879)
0.442
0.869 (0.483–1.663)
0.728
BMI
1.029 (0.893–1.186)
0.691
1.082 (0.988–1.184)
0.088
1.146 (1.031–1.273)
0.011
Baseline LSM
1.038 (0.998–1.078)
0.060
1.041 (1.014–1.070)
0.003
1.042 (1.011–1.075)
0.008
Portal vein diameter
5.931 (1.397–25.191)
0.016
3.020 (1.120–8.149)
0.029
PTV
1.203 (0.336–4.314)
0.777
1.553 (0.701–3.440)
0.278
Using NSBB drugs
0.184 (0.069–0.492)
0.010
0.170 (0.062–0.470)
0.01
0.320 (0.179–0.572)
<0.001
0.274 (0.127–0.482)
<0.001
Hemoglobin
0.979 (0.962–0.997)
0.024
0.979 (0.960–0.998)
0.029
0.980 (0.969–0.991)
0.001
0.976 (0.963–0.998)
<0.001
White blood count
0.856 (0.678–1.080)
0.190
0.780 (0.999–0.913)
0.002
Platelet count
0.982 (0.968–0.996)
0.010
0.985 (0.971–0.999)
0.032
0.987 (0.981–0.994)
<0.001
0.989 (0.982–0.996)
<0.001
PT
1.029 (0.942–1.124)
0.523
1.020 (0.949–1.096)
0.597
Albumin
0.998 (0.927–1.074)
0.952
1.005 (0.959–1.053)
0.825
TBIL
1.001 (0.980–1.023)
0.926
1.000 (0.986–1.014)
0.992
ALT
1.002 (0.995–1.009)
0.561
0.999 (0.993–1.005)
0.752
AST
1.002 (0.996–1.007)
0.580
0.999 (0.994–1.004)
0.67
ALP
0.989 (0.977–1.000)
0.059
0.997 (0.994–1.001)
0.129
GGT
0.992 (0.982–1.003)
0.157
0.998 (0.995–1.001)
0.109
BUN
0.980 (0.870–1.105)
0.745
0.989 (0.929–1.054)
0.734
Creatinine
0.996 (0.978–1.015)
0.698
0.989 (0.975–1.003)
0.137
Sodium
1.019 (0.950–1.093)
0.604
1.001 (0.981–1.022)
0.898
Potassium
0.974 (0.844–1.125)
0.724
0.999 (0.981–1.018)
0.915
Triglycerides
0.848 (0.363–1.985)
0.704
0.984 (0.609–1.590)
0.946
Cholesterol
0.592 (0.345–0.989)
0.045
0.841 (0.650–1.089)
0.189
HDL
0.697 (0.249–1.956)
0.493
1.024 (0.574–1.916)
0.941
LDL
0.546 (0.228–1.107)
0.096
0.754 (0.525–1.092)
0.136
HBeAg
0.305 (0.400–2.345)
0.254
1.158 (0.516–2.598)
0.722
All variables were entered in a forward LR elimination procedure with a value to exit set at >0.10. Empty cells refer to the variables excluded from the multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models. BMI: body mass index; baseline LSM: baseline liver stiffness measurements; PVT: portal vein thrombosis; NSBB: nonselective beta-blockers; PT: prothrombin time; TBIL: total bilirubin; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; ALP: alkaline phosphatase; GGT: glutamyl transpeptidase; BUN: blood urea nitrogen; HDL: high-density lipoprotein; LDL: low-density lipoprotein; HBeAg: hepatitis B virus e antigen; MELD: model for end-stage liver disease.
