A Weak-Coupling Flow-Power Forecasting Method for Small Hydropower Station Group

<div>24-hour prediction results without precipitation variable at time <span class="nowrap"><svg height="10.9953pt" id="M136" style="vertical-align:-3.18148pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -7.81382 9.43046 10.9953" width="9.43046pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M324 430H196L233 583L223 592L145 529L120 430H54L29 396L31 388H111L56 126C33 15 54 -12 77 -12C137 -12 214 57 250 95L233 119C208 92 155 59 138 59C126 59 120 70 131 125L186 390L298 394L324 430Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,4.368,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (a) Plot of the attention weight vector <svg height="12.4698pt" id="M137" style="vertical-align:-3.18147pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 39.7127 12.4698" width="39.7127pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M563 442L553 454L479 439C463 404 440 354 416 322H414C389 422 344 454 283 454C151 454 21 310 21 162C21 48 73 -12 135 -12C182 -12 249 19 325 126H327C339 20 368 -12 407 -12C452 -12 507 21 557 110L530 136C508 107 493 92 480 92C462 92 453 123 430 253C459 292 528 386 563 442ZM318 186C290 133 235 76 202 76C175 76 154 108 154 184C154 275 198 406 247 406C288 406 313 294 318 186Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,9.796,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,14.294,0)"><path d="M324 430H196L233 583L223 592L145 529L120 430H54L29 396L31 388H111L56 126C33 15 54 -12 77 -12C137 -12 214 57 250 95L233 119C208 92 155 59 138 59C126 59 120 70 131 125L186 390L298 394L324 430Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,18.662,3.132)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,23.608,0)"><path d="M95 130C70 130 46 113 46 88C46 72 54 64 59 64C93 55 121 33 121 -3C121 -41 93 -68 44 -88L55 -117C117 -98 186 -56 186 22C186 91 131 130 95 130Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,28.751,0)"><path d="M471 456L444 459C426 433 414 430 388 430C324 430 270 434 216 434C103 434 51 374 23 338L43 317C96 366 146 380 221 375L154 109C149 86 147 68 147 52C147 4 168 -12 197 -12C240 -12 291 25 334 71L320 96C295 75 268 58 252 58C238 58 227 79 238 138C251 211 272 296 292 372C310 372 332 368 350 368C391 368 421 369 434 371C444 388 455 413 471 456Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,35.033,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z"></path></g></svg> (<span class="nowrap"><svg height="8.55521pt" id="M138" style="vertical-align:-0.2063904pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.34882 27.5889 8.55521" width="27.5889pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M471 456L444 459C426 433 414 430 388 430C324 430 270 434 216 434C103 434 51 374 23 338L43 317C96 366 146 380 221 375L154 109C149 86 147 68 147 52C147 4 168 -12 197 -12C240 -12 291 25 334 71L320 96C295 75 268 58 252 58C238 58 227 79 238 138C251 211 272 296 292 372C310 372 332 368 350 368C391 368 421 369 434 371C444 388 455 413 471 456Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,9.914,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,21.177,0)"><path d="M412 140C382 77 369 73 315 73H129L270 222C362 320 402 379 402 466C402 571 322 635 234 635C177 635 130 609 99 576L42 495L64 475C90 514 133 568 201 568C274 568 318 519 318 435C318 349 255 267 193 193C144 135 87 78 32 23V0H405C417 45 427 89 440 131L412 140Z"></path></g></svg>,</span> 4,…,24), (b) plot of the total evapotranspiration variables input to the TFT model, and (c) 24-hour-ahead power prediction curve.</div>

International Journal of Energy Research

fig14

Figure 14

Figure 14: A Weak-Coupling Flow-Power Forecasting Method for Small Hydropower Station Group 