Short-Term Reactive Power Forecasting Based on Real Power Demand Using Holt-Winters’ Model Ensemble by Global Flower Pollination Algorithm for Microgrid

Table 1

Basic statistical analysis of PMU data.

Parameters	15 days	30 days	45 days	60 days	75 days	90 days
Mean	0.073	0.016	-0.223	0.115	0.083	0.067
Standard error	0.0089	0.0019	0.0026	0.00138	0.0099	0.008
Median	0.17	0.21	0.16	0.16	0.19	0.23
Mode	0.07	0.09	0.10	0.26	0.34	0.31
Standard Deviation	0.0411	0.052	0.0816	0.0922	0.161	0.183
Kurtosis	-1.06	-1.13	-1.17	-1.23	-1.27	-1.09
Skewness	-0.279	-0.288	-0.363	-0.419	-0.421	-0.393