Short-Term Reactive Power Forecasting Based on Real Power Demand Using Holt-Winters’ Model Ensemble by Global Flower Pollination Algorithm for Microgrid

Table 4

ARIMA model error analysis for the order (1, 1, 2).

Parameter	Coefficient	Std. error			0.025	0.975
Constant	0.2171	1.116	0.195	0.846	-1.970	2.404
Ar.L1.D value	-0.8928	0.213	-3.996	0.000	-1.331	-0.455
ma.L1.D value	-0.1489	0.260	-0.572	0.569	-0.659	0.361
ma.L2.D value	-0.8511	0.260	-3.276	0.002	-1.360	-0.342