Uncertainty-Based Capacity Factors of Operational Wind Turbines Using the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) Method

Table 2

The number of measured capacity factors within the 50% and 90% confidence intervals of using the MC-based and GLUE-based approaches for the 15 scenario testing cases.

Scenario	MC-based						GLUE-based
			Count			Count			Count			Count
	January	0.777	0.911	1	0.533	0.954	4	0.639	0.876	3	0.484	0.993	5
February	0.575	0.777	1	0.361	0.862	4	0.392	0.615	3	0.302	0.910	5
March	0.551	0.651	0	0.448	0.720	4	0.366	0.507	3	0.292	0.681	4
April	0.433	0.528	2	0.350	0.591	4	0.291	0.407	2	0.203	0.474	3
May	0.305	0.437	1	0.193	0.519	4	0.128	0.272	2	0.055	0.364	5
June	0.255	0.407	1	0.158	0.510	3	0.092	0.203	4	0.052	0.345	5
July	0.216	0.369	1	0.112	0.469	4	0.056	0.130	4	0.034	0.277	5
August	0.193	0.311	2	0.107	0.382	3	0.044	0.192	3	0.022	0.258	4
September	0.398	0.509	0	0.320	0.584	3	0.226	0.313	2	0.173	0.371	5
October	0.733	0.863	4	0.587	0.915	5	0.588	0.728	1	0.426	0.808	4
November	0.690	0.835	3	0.517	0.901	3	0.565	0.782	2	0.484	0.918	4
December	0.795	0.902	0	0.676	0.941	3	0.568	0.761	3	0.455	0.938	4
Strong-wind	0.723	0.791	1	0.667	0.826	2	0.538	0.672	3	0.458	0.771	4
Weak-wind	0.356	0.396	0	0.326	0.423	0	0.178	0.259	4	0.133	0.304	5
One-year	0.550	0.580	0	0.526	0.600	0	0.359	0.445	2	0.301	0.500	4