Tropical Cyclone Intensity Probabilistic Forecasting System Based on Deep Learning

Table 3

PICIF versus official projections, global numerical model, and baseline statistical model CLIPER. The comparison indicator is MAE in m/s.

Methods	2015	2016	2017	2018	Avg
CMA	4.26	5.10	5.63	4.00	4.75
JMA	5.08	5.30	5.05	3.90	4.83
JTWC	4.88	5.40	5.23	4.70	5.05
ECMWF-IFS	5.44	9.22	6.40	6.90	6.99
NCEP-GFS	6.42	6.42	5.92	4.80	5.89
CLIPER	5.20	6.17	4.85	5.45	5.42
PTCIF	4.73	5.27	4.27	4.39	4.60

The best results are marked in bold.