A Theoretical Model of Listeriosis Driven by Cross Contamination of Ready-to-Eat Food Products

<div>(a) 3D plot showing the effect of <svg height="14.8173pt" id="M299" style="vertical-align:-5.52897pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 18.1835 14.8173" width="18.1835pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.228,3.132)"><path d="M620 667C620 684 593 710 552 710C515 710 459 687 409 634C360 582 334 506 320 433H247L215 400L220 388H310L259 80C224 -129 199 -161 185 -174C175 -183 160 -192 141 -192C123 -192 90 -181 75 -165C69 -158 64 -156 54 -164C39 -178 24 -195 24 -208C24 -231 61 -257 94 -257C124 -257 162 -243 209 -194C267 -134 303 -66 343 107C369 220 378 279 393 385L503 397L523 433H404C432 619 464 660 500 660C522 660 542 646 566 621C573 614 583 615 593 621C603 628 620 648 620 667Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,13.093,3.132)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z"></path></g></svg> and removal of food products <svg height="14.8173pt" id="M300" style="vertical-align:-5.52897pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 22.4257 14.8173" width="22.4257pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M538 96L524 119C492 88 454 63 446 63C439 63 434 70 440 101C463 223 491 341 518 448H508L433 422L401 276C355 192 240 56 188 56C163 56 154 89 163 133C184 233 207 338 235 443L230 448L152 424L58 17C40 -60 23 -143 23 -185C23 -241 42 -261 63 -261C92 -261 117 -241 125 -227L124 -221C109 -209 89 -165 89 -103C89 -55 96 -13 105 26H107C121 -3 134 -12 151 -12C172 -12 194 -5 221 16C279 61 330 124 384 194H386C381 159 377 141 368 105C343 3 363 -12 383 -12C416 -12 486 35 538 96Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.388,3.132)"><path d="M620 667C620 684 593 710 552 710C515 710 459 687 409 634C360 582 334 506 320 433H247L215 400L220 388H310L259 80C224 -129 199 -161 185 -174C175 -183 160 -192 141 -192C123 -192 90 -181 75 -165C69 -158 64 -156 54 -164C39 -178 24 -195 24 -208C24 -231 61 -257 94 -257C124 -257 162 -243 209 -194C267 -134 303 -66 343 107C369 220 378 279 393 385L503 397L523 433H404C432 619 464 660 500 660C522 660 542 646 566 621C573 614 583 615 593 621C603 628 620 648 620 667Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,17.768,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z"></path></g></svg> on <span class="nowrap"><svg height="14.5433pt" id="M301" style="vertical-align:-5.528979pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.01432 24.3882 14.5433" width="24.3882pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.132)"><path d="M698 334C698 397 680 451 655 451C627 451 602 424 602 397C602 389 605 383 614 371C622 360 624 340 624 317C624 161 546 47 458 47C419 47 389 69 389 125C389 142 391 162 397 185L457 430L451 435L380 421L315 164C301 107 266 47 222 47C182 47 153 69 153 126C153 137 157 162 161 185C166 214 179 265 197 334C203 358 208 385 208 407C208 433 201 451 176 451C124 451 64 404 24 348L44 320C86 366 113 382 121 382C126 382 128 381 128 374C128 368 126 356 122 341C102 266 88 204 81 164C77 143 73 121 73 107C73 23 131 -12 187 -12C234 -12 281 10 322 45C343 5 383 -12 422 -12C559 -12 698 174 698 334Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,17.838,3.132)"><path d="M620 667C620 684 593 710 552 710C515 710 459 687 409 634C360 582 334 506 320 433H247L215 400L220 388H310L259 80C224 -129 199 -161 185 -174C175 -183 160 -192 141 -192C123 -192 90 -181 75 -165C69 -158 64 -156 54 -164C39 -178 24 -195 24 -208C24 -231 61 -257 94 -257C124 -257 162 -243 209 -194C267 -134 303 -66 343 107C369 220 378 279 393 385L503 397L523 433H404C432 619 464 660 500 660C522 660 542 646 566 621C573 614 583 615 593 621C603 628 620 648 620 667Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (b) 3D plot showing the effect of removal of workers <svg height="12.5794pt" id="M302" style="vertical-align:-3.29107pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 22.6423 12.5794" width="22.6423pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M494 514C482 587 419 712 303 712C238 712 174 667 174 603C174 561 205 514 249 449C219 438 187 422 162 407C93 366 23 283 23 177C23 69 87 -12 190 -12C244 -12 288 5 328 33C406 87 444 170 444 249C444 329 404 391 331 475C265 550 222 605 222 627C222 647 238 657 267 657C355 657 421 585 484 499L494 514ZM359 234C359 143 319 30 219 30C172 30 114 75 114 178C114 275 163 343 195 378C212 397 241 415 269 425C305 382 359 313 359 234Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,10.894,3.132)"><path d="M698 334C698 397 680 451 655 451C627 451 602 424 602 397C602 389 605 383 614 371C622 360 624 340 624 317C624 161 546 47 458 47C419 47 389 69 389 125C389 142 391 162 397 185L457 430L451 435L380 421L315 164C301 107 266 47 222 47C182 47 153 69 153 126C153 137 157 162 161 185C166 214 179 265 197 334C203 358 208 385 208 407C208 433 201 451 176 451C124 451 64 404 24 348L44 320C86 366 113 382 121 382C126 382 128 381 128 374C128 368 126 356 122 341C102 266 88 204 81 164C77 143 73 121 73 107C73 23 131 -12 187 -12C234 -12 281 10 322 45C343 5 383 -12 422 -12C559 -12 698 174 698 334Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,17.987,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z"></path></g></svg> and rate of contamination of food products by workers <svg height="14.5707pt" id="M303" style="vertical-align:-5.28237pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 26.9702 14.5707" width="26.9702pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.726,3.132)"><path d="M698 334C698 397 680 451 655 451C627 451 602 424 602 397C602 389 605 383 614 371C622 360 624 340 624 317C624 161 546 47 458 47C419 47 389 69 389 125C389 142 391 162 397 185L457 430L451 435L380 421L315 164C301 107 266 47 222 47C182 47 153 69 153 126C153 137 157 162 161 185C166 214 179 265 197 334C203 358 208 385 208 407C208 433 201 451 176 451C124 451 64 404 24 348L44 320C86 366 113 382 121 382C126 382 128 381 128 374C128 368 126 356 122 341C102 266 88 204 81 164C77 143 73 121 73 107C73 23 131 -12 187 -12C234 -12 281 10 322 45C343 5 383 -12 422 -12C559 -12 698 174 698 334Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0065,0,0,-0.0065,18.069,5.233)"><path d="M394 0V37C301 42 295 50 295 122V635C236 613 178 596 109 583V553L165 551C205 549 209 544 209 495V122C209 50 203 42 111 37V0H394Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,22.312,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z"></path></g></svg> on <span class="nowrap"><svg height="14.5433pt" id="M304" style="vertical-align:-5.528979pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.01432 24.3882 14.5433" width="24.3882pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.132)"><path d="M698 334C698 397 680 451 655 451C627 451 602 424 602 397C602 389 605 383 614 371C622 360 624 340 624 317C624 161 546 47 458 47C419 47 389 69 389 125C389 142 391 162 397 185L457 430L451 435L380 421L315 164C301 107 266 47 222 47C182 47 153 69 153 126C153 137 157 162 161 185C166 214 179 265 197 334C203 358 208 385 208 407C208 433 201 451 176 451C124 451 64 404 24 348L44 320C86 366 113 382 121 382C126 382 128 381 128 374C128 368 126 356 122 341C102 266 88 204 81 164C77 143 73 121 73 107C73 23 131 -12 187 -12C234 -12 281 10 322 45C343 5 383 -12 422 -12C559 -12 698 174 698 334Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,17.838,3.132)"><path d="M620 667C620 684 593 710 552 710C515 710 459 687 409 634C360 582 334 506 320 433H247L215 400L220 388H310L259 80C224 -129 199 -161 185 -174C175 -183 160 -192 141 -192C123 -192 90 -181 75 -165C69 -158 64 -156 54 -164C39 -178 24 -195 24 -208C24 -231 61 -257 94 -257C124 -257 162 -243 209 -194C267 -134 303 -66 343 107C369 220 378 279 393 385L503 397L523 433H404C432 619 464 660 500 660C522 660 542 646 566 621C573 614 583 615 593 621C603 628 620 648 620 667Z"></path></g></svg>.</span></div>

International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences

fig5

Figure 5

Figure 5: A Theoretical Model of Listeriosis Driven by Cross Contamination of Ready-to-Eat Food Products 