Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 1

Model ranking and ATP ranking of top 20 players on all surfaces.

Model rank	Players	Estimates	Rating	Std. error	ATP ranking
1	Djokovic N.	0.2725	1.3132	0.5181	1
2	Nadal R.	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	2
3	Federer R.	-0.1672	0.8460	0.5154	4
4	Thiem D.	-0.231	0.7937	0.4977	3
5	Medvedev D.	-0.9094	0.4028	0.4928	5
6	Tsitsipas S.	-1.0045	0.3662	0.4585	6
7	Berrettini M.	-1.3522	0.2587	0.5062	8
8	Rublev A.	-1.3591	0.2569	0.4869	12
9	De Minaur A.	-1.4134	0.2433	0.5524	28
10	Raonic M.	-1.4193	0.2419	0.5577	21
11	Wawrinka S.	-1.4465	0.2354	0.5167	17
12	Schwartzman D.	-1.474	0.2290	0.503	14
13	Struff J. L.	-1.5372	0.2150	0.4939	32
14	Monfils G.	-1.5478	0.2127	0.5247	9
15	Opelka R.	-1.5483	0.2126	0.5134	36
16	Bautista Agut R.	-1.5949	0.2029	0.495	10
17	Kyrgios N.	-1.6348	0.1950	0.5648	42
18	Krajinovic F.	-1.7045	0.1819	0.5476	29
19	Zverev A.	-1.7391	0.1757	0.5187	7
20	Dimitrov G.	-1.7691	0.1705	0.5243	20