Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 2

Wining probabilities of players on all surfaces. DN: Djokovic N.; NR: Nadal R.; FR: Federer R.; TD: Thiem D.; MD: Medvedev D.; TS: Tsitsipas S.; ZA: Zverev A.; BM: Berrettini M.; DMA: De Minaur A.; RM: Raonic M.

	DN	NR	FR	TD	MD	TS	BM	RA	DMA	RM
DN		0.568	0.608	0.623	0.765	0.782	0.835	0.836	0.844	0.844
NR	0.432		0.542	0.557	0.713	0.732	0.794	0.796	0.804	0.805
FR	0.392	0.458		0.516	0.677	0.698	0.766	0.767	0.777	0.778
TD	0.377	0.443	0.484		0.663	0.684	0.754	0.755	0.765	0.766
MD	0.235	0.287	0.323	0.337		0.524	0.609	0.611	0.623	0.625
TS	0.218	0.268	0.302	0.316	0.476		0.586	0.588	0.601	0.602
BM	0.165	0.206	0.234	0.246	0.391	0.414		0.502	0.515	0.517
RA	0.164	0.204	0.233	0.245	0.389	0.412	0.498		0.514	0.515
DMA	0.156	0.196	0.223	0.235	0.377	0.399	0.485	0.486		0.501
RM	0.156	0.195	0.222	0.234	0.375	0.398	0.483	0.485	0.499

Winning probabilities of players in the left-hand column over the players in the top row, on all surfaces.