Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 3

Model ranking and ATP ranking of top 20 players on hard court.

Model rank	Player	Estimate	Rating	Std. error	ATP ranking
1	Djokovic N.	0.1416	1.1521	0.6918	1
2	Nadal R.	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	2
3	Thiem D.	-0.0556	0.9459	0.6985	3
4	Federer R.	-0.2224	0.8006	0.7063	4
5	Medvedev D.	-0.6465	0.5239	0.6387	5
6	Tsitsipas S.	-1.0456	0.3515	0.6267	6
7	Raonic M.	-1.0508	0.3497	0.7172	21
8	De Minaur A.	-1.2714	0.2804	0.6871	28
9	Opelka R.	-1.3611	0.2564	0.6866	36
10	Kyrgios N.	-1.3994	0.2467	0.7363	42
11	Struff J. L.	-1.4251	0.2405	0.6964	32
12	Monfils G.	-1.4462	0.2355	0.6782	9
13	Berrettini M.	-1.4814	0.2273	0.7028	8
14	Rublev A.	-1.4879	0.2259	0.6456	12
15	Wawrinka S.	-1.5668	0.2087	0.6779	17
16	Bautista Agut R.	-1.6233	0.1973	0.6697	10
17	Dimitrov G.	-1.6310	0.1957	0.6989	20
18	Krajinovic F.	-1.6960	0.1834	0.6986	29
19	Carreno Busta P.	-1.7105	0.1808	0.6790	18
20	Zverev A.	-1.7151	0.1800	0.7016	7