Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 5

Model ranking and ATP ranking of top 15 players on clay court.

Model rank	Player	Estimate	Rating	Std. error	ATP ranking
1	Djokovic N.	0.1119	1.1184	0.8803	1
2	Nadal R.	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	2
3	Thiem D.	-0.3216	0.7250	0.7930	3
4	Federer R.	-0.6513	0.5214	0.9713	4
5	Wawrinka S.	-0.7988	0.4499	0.9701	17
6	Garin C.	-0.8865	0.4121	0.8665	19
7	Rublev A.	-0.9208	0.3982	0.9329	12
8	Tsitsipas S.	-0.9294	0.3948	0.8067	6
9	Ruud C.	-0.9939	0.3701	0.8548	25
10	Schwartzman D.	-1.1248	0.3247	0.8390	14
11	Fognini F.	-1.4655	0.2310	0.8729	15
12	Lajovic D.	-1.5521	0.2118	0.8869	24
13	Pella G.	-1.561	0.2099	0.8798	37
14	Struff J. L.	-1.9137	0.1475	0.8762	32
15	Paire B.	-1.9992	0.1354	1.0323	26