Research Article

Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 8

Measures of predictive performance for bookmakers’ average odds.

Bookmakers’ average odds
All surfacesHard courtClay court

Classification accuracy 66.81%66.14%65.35%
Average probability 0.60320.59790.6064
Average log probability -0.57-0.579-0.58
Return on investment 26.88%26.00%23.76%