|
| Driving factors | Potential effect on determinants of malaria
transmission | Impact on malaria risk in Canada | Impact on malaria transmission parameters (Figure 4) |
|
| Climate change | Improved mosquito habitat in
Canada,
increased vector populations | Increased probability of
local transmission | ma |
| g () |
| Extension of the annual
period available for parasite replication in mosquitoes in Canada | Increased probability of
local transmission | ma |
| g () |
| Changes in the distribution
and/or incidence in countries outside of Canada to/from which Canadians
travel | Impact on the number of
imported cases
| or b |
| Probability of local
transmission uncertain | or c |
|
| Increasing immigration | Increased introduction of
infected individuals | Increased number of imported
cases
| b |
| Increased probability of local
transmission | c |
|
| Increasing international
travel | Increased introduction of
infected individuals | Increased number of imported
cases
| b |
| Increased probability of
local transmission | c |
|
| Drug resistance | Decreased efficacy of
prophylaxis | Increased incidence and
mortality | 1/r |
|
| Delayed diagnosis | Increased gametocyte
incidence | Increased probability of
local transmission | 1/r |
|
