Research Article
Quantile-Based Estimative VaR Forecast and Dependence Measure: A Simulation Approach
Table 4
The coverage probability of estimative VaR forecast of ARCH(1) process for several (
), ranging from 0.90 to 0.99.
| | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| 0.89609 | 0.92654 | 0.947024 | 0.967739 | 0.988887 | 0.900009 | 0.930008 | 0.950007 | 0.970005 | 0.990002 | 0.891878 | 0.922777 | 0.943759 | 0.965222 | 0.987607 | 0.901274 | 0.93112 | 0.950958 | 0.970721 | 0.990347 | 0.899503 | 0.929562 | 0.949625 | 0.969717 | 0.989863 | 0.901369 | 0.931441 | 0.951231 | 0.970926 | 0.990446 | 0.898208 | 0.928418 | 0.948643 | 0.968973 | 0.989499 | 0.896911 | 0.927268 | 0.947653 | 0.968219 | 0.989126 | 0.901066 | 0.930938 | 0.950802 | 0.970604 | 0.990291 |
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