Research Article
Highway Design and Safety Consequences: A Case Study of Interstate Highway Vertical Grades
(a) Model estimation results for Rural Interstates |
| Variables | Fatal | Injury | PDO | coefficient | t value | coefficient | t value | coefficient | t value |
| Constant | –12.8386 | –4.30 | –22.7048 | –14.24 | –19.8081 | –14.11 | Segment length (miles) | 0.2146 | 3.98 | 0.1548 | 6.24 | 0.1540 | 7.05 | Natural log of annual average daily traffic | 1.4462 | 5.13 | 0.8843 | 6.48 | 0.8234 | 6.85 | Average vertical grade (%) | | | 0.0963 | 3.27 | 0.0636 | 2.46 | Left shoulder width (ft.) | –1.1704 | –10.81 | –0.6364 | –18.50 | –0.7372 | –24.38 | Median width (ft.) | | | –0.0123 | –2.91 | –0.0131 | –3.52 | Number of lanes | | | 3.4596 | 15.66 | 3.4045 | 17.53 | | Number of observations = 317; |
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(b) Model estimation results for Urban Interstates |
| Variables | Fatal | Injury | PDO | coefficient | t value | coefficient | t value | coefficient | t value |
| Constant | –5.1638 | –8.25 | –28.7188 | –6.34 | –24.2710 | –5.77 | Segment length (miles) | 0.2327 | 9.16 | | | | | Natural logarithm of annual average daily traffic | | | 2.8430 | 8.19 | 2.2157 | 8.28 | Lane width (ft.) | | | –0.9093 | –3.65 | –0.6286 | –3.06 | Right shoulder width (ft.) | | | 1.2243 | 5.01 | 1.1272 | 6.00 | IRI (in/mile) | 0.02317 | 3.25 | | | | | Average vertical grade (%) | 0.5034 | 5.12 | 0.2086 | 1.96 | 0.1852 | 1.86 | Left shoulder width (ft.) | –0.2087 | –5.01 | –0.08187 | –1.99 | –0.09313 | –2.38 | Number of lanes | –0.2480 | –2.45 | | | | | Average vertical curve grade Lane width (Interaction term) | | | 0.02367 | 3.19 | 0.02615 | 3.72 | | Number of observations = 101; |
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