Forecasting of Short-Term Metro Ridership with Support Vector Machine Online Model

Table 3

weekend performance comparison for one-step prediction.

Model	RMSE (ridership/5-min)	MAE (ridership/5-min)	MAPE (%)
September 1, Saturday, 2012 at Sanshanjie Station
SARIMA	44.17	33.50	17.07
BPNN	30.99	24.35	12.60
SVM	30.81	24.20	12.53
SVMOOL	29.68	23.32	12.03
SVMPOL	32.33	26.20	15.20
SVMCOL	27.11	22.52	12.23
April 7, Saturday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	46.98	34.65	17.91
BPNN	30.67	23.41	16.84
SVM	30.66	23.43	16.85
SVMOOL	30.25	23.04	16.51
SVMPOL	32.04	25.60	21.75
SVMCOL	28.51	21.61	17.56
May 5, Saturday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	52.09	33.29	18.69
BPNN	30.02	22.78	15.48
SVM	31.48	23.29	15.63
SVMOOL	29.71	22.53	15.32
SVMPOL	31.88	23.83	18.87
SVMCOL	27.89	21.25	15.64