Determinants of Bicyclist Injury Severity Resulting from Crashes at Roundabouts, Crossroads, and T-Junctions
Table 4
Estimation results of the PPO model.
Variables
Roundabouts
Crossroads
T-junctions
Fatal
Serious
Fatal
Serious
Fatal
Serious
Bicyclist characteristics
Male
0.111 (0.052)
0.111 (0.052)
−0.16 (0.064)
−0.16 (0.064)
−0.089 (0.033)
−0.089 (0.033)
Age 1
0.706 (0.143)
0.706 (0.143)
0.309 (0.111)
0.309 (0.110)
0.275 (0.053)
0.275 (0.053)
Age 2
0.654 (0.071)
0.654 (0.071)
0.396 (0.085)
0.373 (0.043)
0.373 (0.043)
Age 3
0.467 (0.062)
0.467 (0.062)
0.405 (0.080)
0.405 (0.080)
0.325 (0.041)
0.325 (0.041)
Age 4
0.336 (0.060)
0.336 (0.060)
0.194 (0.082)
0.194 (0.082)
0.156 (0.041)
0.156 (0.041)
Age 6
−0.263 (0.066)
−0.263 (0.066)
−1.571 (0.354)
−0.298 (0.097)
−1.426 (0.178)
−0.282 (0.048)
Villager
−0.716 (0.235)
−0.114 (0.057)
Part-of-work
0.188 (0.075)
0.188 (0.075)
0.146 (0.052)
0.146 (0.052)
To-from-Work
0.981 (0.366)
Pupil-school
0.366 (0.098)
0.366 (0.098)
Intersection characteristics
Speed-limit
0.284 (0.054)
0.284 (0.054)
1.327 (0.340)
0.537 (0.097)
1.287 (0.188)
0.443 (0.047)
Junction-control
1.492 (0.424)
0.843 (0.318)
0.711 (0.232)
Divider
−1.095 (0.397)
−0.296 (0.076)
−0.296 (0.076)
Urban-junction
0.115 (0.055)
0.115 (0.055)
0.255 (0.110)
0.255 (0.110)
0.329 (0.041)
0.329 (0.041)
Road-wet
-4.438 (1.873)
-4.438 (1.873)
Environmental condition
Weather-fine
0.313 (0.131)
0.313 (0.131)
Weather-raining
0.193 (0.067)
0.193 (0.067)
0.308 (0.161)
0.308 (0.161)
Weather-foggy
−2.202 (1.064)
Night-peak
0.073 (0.032)
0.073 (0.032)
Night-light
−0.118 (0.033)
−0.118 (0.033)
Night-nonlight
−0.193 (0.074)
−0.193 (0.074)
February
−0.641 (0.263)
May
−0.192 (0.105)
−0.192 (0.105)
June
0.208 (0.108)
0.208 (0.108)
October
−0.179 (0.101)
−0.179 (0.101)
Bicyclist movement and location preceding the crash
Parked
−2.288 (1.003)
1.314 (0.600)
Waiting-go
0.869 (0.292)
0.869 (0.292)
0.801 (0.172)
0.801 (0.172)
Righting
−0.115 (0.050)
−0.115 (0.050)
Waiting-right
0.733 (0.388)
0.733 (0.388)
0.4 (0.122)
0.4 (0.122)
Over-nearside
−2.531 (0.759)
−2.294 (0.466)
−1.212 (0.393)
Ahead-right
−0.38 (0.120)
−0.38 (0.120)
−0.216 (0.072)
−0.216 (0.072)
Entering-main
−2.57 (1.063)
−1.179 (0.239)
−0.233 (0.055)
Lane-left
−0.441 (0.220)
−0.441 (0.220)
−1.034 (0.561)
−1.034 (0.561)
Busway
−1.389 (0.587)
Pavement
−0.495 (0.242)
−0.495 (0.242)
−1.285 (0.345)
Type of collision
Collision-point-front
−0.511 (0.116)
−0.511 (0.116)
−0.446 (0.055)
−0.446 (0.055)
Collision-point-back
0.407 (0.117)
0.407 (0.117)
0.812 (0.146)
0.812 (0.146)
0.656 (0.070)
Collision-point-right
0.324 (0.119)
0.575 (0.123)
0.457 (0.060)
Collision-point-left
0.414 (0.130)
0.576 (0.063)
0.576 (0.063)
Secondary-collision-on-road
−0.319 (0.066)
−0.319 (0.066)
Secondary-collision-off-road
−0.753 (0.253)
−0.753 (0.253)
−0.477 (0.281)
−0.477 (0.281)
−1.636 (0.386)
−0.69 (0.125)
Constant
4.576 (1.191)
1.042 (1.123)
4.787 (1.613)
−0.849 (1.460)
4.000 (0.301)
0.528 (0.087)
Number of observations
16418
11623
14491
Log-likelihood at zero, LL (0)
−7778.23
−5525.77
−6810.30
Log-likelihood at convergence, LL (β)
−6776.39
−4788.63
−5929.73
Pseudo R2
0.1288
0.1334
0.1293
AIC
15669.03
11166.97
13627.88
BIC
15869.39
11424.59
13800.70
Note. Standard errors are in parentheses. Level of significance: ∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.05, ∗∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.01, and ∗∗∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.001.