Research Article

Determinants of Bicyclist Injury Severity Resulting from Crashes at Roundabouts, Crossroads, and T-Junctions

Table 4

Estimation results of the PPO model.

VariablesRoundaboutsCrossroadsT-junctions
FatalSeriousFatalSeriousFatalSerious

Bicyclist characteristics
Male0.111 (0.052)0.111 (0.052)−0.16 (0.064)−0.16 (0.064)−0.089 (0.033)−0.089 (0.033)
Age 10.706 (0.143)0.706 (0.143)0.309 (0.111)0.309 (0.110)0.275 (0.053)0.275 (0.053)
Age 20.654 (0.071)0.654 (0.071)0.396 (0.085)0.373 (0.043)0.373 (0.043)
Age 30.467 (0.062)0.467 (0.062)0.405 (0.080)0.405 (0.080)0.325 (0.041)0.325 (0.041)
Age 40.336 (0.060)0.336 (0.060)0.194 (0.082)0.194 (0.082)0.156 (0.041)0.156 (0.041)
Age 6−0.263 (0.066)−0.263 (0.066)−1.571 (0.354)−0.298 (0.097)−1.426 (0.178)−0.282 (0.048)
Villager−0.716 (0.235)−0.114 (0.057)
Part-of-work0.188 (0.075)0.188 (0.075)0.146 (0.052)0.146 (0.052)
To-from-Work0.981 (0.366)
Pupil-school0.366 (0.098)0.366 (0.098)

Intersection characteristics
Speed-limit0.284 (0.054)0.284 (0.054)1.327 (0.340)0.537 (0.097)1.287 (0.188)0.443 (0.047)
Junction-control1.492 (0.424)0.843 (0.318)0.711 (0.232)
Divider−1.095 (0.397)−0.296 (0.076)−0.296 (0.076)
Urban-junction0.115 (0.055)0.115 (0.055)0.255 (0.110)0.255 (0.110)0.329 (0.041)0.329 (0.041)
Road-wet-4.438 (1.873)-4.438 (1.873)

Environmental condition
Weather-fine0.313 (0.131)0.313 (0.131)
Weather-raining0.193 (0.067)0.193 (0.067)0.308 (0.161)0.308 (0.161)
Weather-foggy−2.202 (1.064)
Night-peak0.073 (0.032)0.073 (0.032)
Night-light−0.118 (0.033)−0.118 (0.033)
Night-nonlight−0.193 (0.074)−0.193 (0.074)
February−0.641 (0.263)
May−0.192 (0.105)−0.192 (0.105)
June0.208 (0.108)0.208 (0.108)
October−0.179 (0.101)−0.179 (0.101)

Bicyclist movement and location preceding the crash
Parked−2.288 (1.003)1.314 (0.600)
Waiting-go0.869 (0.292)0.869 (0.292)0.801 (0.172)0.801 (0.172)
Righting−0.115 (0.050)−0.115 (0.050)
Waiting-right0.733 (0.388)0.733 (0.388)0.4 (0.122)0.4 (0.122)
Over-nearside−2.531 (0.759)−2.294 (0.466)−1.212 (0.393)
Ahead-right−0.38 (0.120)−0.38 (0.120)−0.216 (0.072)−0.216 (0.072)
Entering-main−2.57 (1.063)−1.179 (0.239)−0.233 (0.055)
Lane-left−0.441 (0.220)−0.441 (0.220)−1.034 (0.561)−1.034 (0.561)
Busway−1.389 (0.587)
Pavement−0.495 (0.242)−0.495 (0.242)−1.285 (0.345)

Type of collision
Collision-point-front−0.511 (0.116)−0.511 (0.116)−0.446 (0.055)−0.446 (0.055)
Collision-point-back0.407 (0.117)0.407 (0.117)0.812 (0.146)0.812 (0.146)0.656 (0.070)
Collision-point-right0.324 (0.119)0.575 (0.123)0.457 (0.060)
Collision-point-left0.414 (0.130)0.576 (0.063)0.576 (0.063)
Secondary-collision-on-road−0.319 (0.066)−0.319 (0.066)
Secondary-collision-off-road−0.753 (0.253)−0.753 (0.253)−0.477 (0.281)−0.477 (0.281)−1.636 (0.386)−0.69 (0.125)

Constant4.576 (1.191)1.042 (1.123)4.787 (1.613)−0.849 (1.460)4.000 (0.301)0.528 (0.087)
Number of observations164181162314491
Log-likelihood at zero, LL (0)−7778.23−5525.77−6810.30
Log-likelihood at convergence, LL (β)−6776.39−4788.63−5929.73
Pseudo R20.12880.13340.1293
AIC15669.0311166.9713627.88
BIC15869.3911424.5913800.70

Note. Standard errors are in parentheses. Level of significance: ∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.05, ∗∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.01, and ∗∗∗ indicates parameter is significant at 0.001.