Research Article
Prediction on Peak Values of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the Chinese Transportation Industry Based on the SVR Model and Scenario Analysis
Table 3
Data of traffic carbon dioxide emissions and their influencing factors.
| Year | GDP (109 yuan) | Population (million people) | Urbanization rate (%) | Energy consumption structure (%) | Energy intensity (t/106 t·km) | The proportion of the secondary industry (%) |
| 1973 | 2756.20 | 881.94 | 17.18 | 100 | 3.12 | 42.80 | 1974 | 2764.13 | 900.35 | 17.29 | 100 | 3.49 | 42.40 | 1975 | 2733.36 | 916.40 | 17.40 | 100 | 3.24 | 45.40 | 1976 | 2731.29 | 930.69 | 17.46 | 100 | 3.57 | 45.00 | 1977 | 2760.39 | 943.46 | 17.52 | 100 | 3.44 | 46.70 | 1978 | 2797.23 | 956.17 | 17.90 | 100 | 2.84 | 47.70 | 1979 | 2897.74 | 969.01 | 18.62 | 100 | 2.57 | 47.00 | 1980 | 3007.38 | 981.24 | 19.36 | 100 | 2.20 | 48.10 | 1981 | 3078.63 | 993.89 | 20.12 | 100 | 2.17 | 46.00 | 1982 | 3145.57 | 1008.63 | 20.90 | 100 | 2.11 | 44.60 | 1983 | 3109.54 | 1023.31 | 21.55 | 100 | 2.13 | 44.20 | 1984 | 3263.05 | 1036.83 | 22.20 | 100 | 1.98 | 42.90 | 1985 | 3597.14 | 1051.04 | 22.87 | 100 | 1.78 | 42.70 | 1986 | 3766.86 | 1066.79 | 23.56 | 100 | 1.79 | 43.50 | 1987 | 3956.78 | 1084.04 | 24.26 | 100 | 1.74 | 43.30 | 1988 | 4436.76 | 1101.63 | 24.97 | 100 | 1.66 | 43.50 | 1989 | 4818.71 | 1118.65 | 25.70 | 100 | 1.67 | 42.50 | 1990 | 5094.93 | 1135.19 | 26.44 | 96.77 | 1.51 | 41.00 | 1991 | 5435.16 | 1150.78 | 27.31 | 97.06 | 1.55 | 41.50 | 1992 | 5881.59 | 1164.97 | 28.20 | 97.30 | 1.61 | 43.10 | 1993 | 6773.79 | 1178.44 | 29.10 | 97.62 | 1.73 | 46.20 | 1994 | 8173.02 | 1191.84 | 30.02 | 97.50 | 1.52 | 46.20 | 1995 | 9286.06 | 1204.86 | 30.96 | 97.67 | 1.53 | 46.80 | 1996 | 9892.30 | 1217.55 | 31.92 | 98.25 | 2.00 | 47.10 | 1997 | 10055.60 | 1230.08 | 32.88 | 98.00 | 1.67 | 47.10 | 1998 | 9969.33 | 1241.94 | 33.87 | 97.92 | 1.61 | 45.80 | 1999 | 9839.91 | 1252.74 | 34.87 | 98.15 | 1.69 | 45.40 | 2000 | 10041.96 | 1262.65 | 35.88 | 98.81 | 2.41 | 45.50 | 2001 | 10250.91 | 1271.85 | 37.09 | 98.82 | 2.27 | 44.80 | 2002 | 10315.81 | 1280.40 | 38.43 | 98.91 | 2.32 | 44.50 | 2003 | 10588.00 | 1288.40 | 39.78 | 97.17 | 2.54 | 45.60 | 2004 | 11325.49 | 1296.08 | 41.14 | 97.60 | 2.34 | 45.90 | 2005 | 11767.03 | 1303.72 | 42.52 | 97.01 | 2.19 | 47.00 | 2006 | 12231.34 | 1311.02 | 43.87 | 95.95 | 2.18 | 47.60 | 2007 | 13182.79 | 1317.89 | 45.20 | 96.23 | 2.06 | 46.90 | 2008 | 14204.05 | 1324.66 | 46.54 | 94.25 | 2.08 | 47.00 | 2009 | 14174.12 | 1331.26 | 47.88 | 92.74 | 1.94 | 46.00 | 2010 | 15154.41 | 1337.71 | 49.23 | 92.89 | 1.84 | 46.50 | 2011 | 16370.89 | 1344.13 | 50.51 | 92.13 | 1.80 | 46.50 | 2012 | 16746.90 | 1350.70 | 51.77 | 92.02 | 1.83 | 45.40 | 2013 | 17103.82 | 1357.38 | 53.01 | 91.83 | 2.04 | 44.20 | 2014 | 17239.07 | 1364.27 | 54.26 | 90.71 | 1.97 | 43.30 | 2015 | 17250.74 | 1371.22 | 55.50 | 90.66 | 2.15 | 41.10 | 2016 | 17441.79 | 1378.67 | 56.74 | 90.51 | 2.10 | 40.10 | 2017 | 18111.96 | 1386.40 | 57.96 | 89.68 | 2.08 | 40.50 |
|
|