Research Article

Prediction on Peak Values of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the Chinese Transportation Industry Based on the SVR Model and Scenario Analysis

Table 3

Data of traffic carbon dioxide emissions and their influencing factors.

YearGDP (109 yuan)Population (million people)Urbanization rate (%)Energy consumption structure (%)Energy intensity (t/106 t·km)The proportion of the secondary industry (%)

19732756.20881.9417.181003.1242.80
19742764.13900.3517.291003.4942.40
19752733.36916.4017.401003.2445.40
19762731.29930.6917.461003.5745.00
19772760.39943.4617.521003.4446.70
19782797.23956.1717.901002.8447.70
19792897.74969.0118.621002.5747.00
19803007.38981.2419.361002.2048.10
19813078.63993.8920.121002.1746.00
19823145.571008.6320.901002.1144.60
19833109.541023.3121.551002.1344.20
19843263.051036.8322.201001.9842.90
19853597.141051.0422.871001.7842.70
19863766.861066.7923.561001.7943.50
19873956.781084.0424.261001.7443.30
19884436.761101.6324.971001.6643.50
19894818.711118.6525.701001.6742.50
19905094.931135.1926.4496.771.5141.00
19915435.161150.7827.3197.061.5541.50
19925881.591164.9728.2097.301.6143.10
19936773.791178.4429.1097.621.7346.20
19948173.021191.8430.0297.501.5246.20
19959286.061204.8630.9697.671.5346.80
19969892.301217.5531.9298.252.0047.10
199710055.601230.0832.8898.001.6747.10
19989969.331241.9433.8797.921.6145.80
19999839.911252.7434.8798.151.6945.40
200010041.961262.6535.8898.812.4145.50
200110250.911271.8537.0998.822.2744.80
200210315.811280.4038.4398.912.3244.50
200310588.001288.4039.7897.172.5445.60
200411325.491296.0841.1497.602.3445.90
200511767.031303.7242.5297.012.1947.00
200612231.341311.0243.8795.952.1847.60
200713182.791317.8945.2096.232.0646.90
200814204.051324.6646.5494.252.0847.00
200914174.121331.2647.8892.741.9446.00
201015154.411337.7149.2392.891.8446.50
201116370.891344.1350.5192.131.8046.50
201216746.901350.7051.7792.021.8345.40
201317103.821357.3853.0191.832.0444.20
201417239.071364.2754.2690.711.9743.30
201517250.741371.2255.5090.662.1541.10
201617441.791378.6756.7490.512.1040.10
201718111.961386.4057.9689.682.0840.50