Research Article
Prediction on Peak Values of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the Chinese Transportation Industry Based on the SVR Model and Scenario Analysis
Table 7
Carbon dioxide emissions of each factor at different change rates.
| Factor | Change rate (%) | Peak value (106 t) | Change of the peak value (%) | Total carbon dioxide emissions from 2018 to 2050 (106 t) | Change of total volume (%) |
| GDP | −10 | 1358.13 | −0.55 | 40610.82 | −2.37 | 10 | 1420.17 | 3.99 | 42988.74 | 3.34 |
| Population | −10 | 1310.10 | −4.07 | 40216.32 | −3.32 | 10 | 1424.80 | 4.33 | 43066.51 | 3.53 |
| Urbanization rate | −10 | 1311.01 | −4.00 | 40240.50 | −3.26 | 10 | 1423.63 | 4.24 | 43034.93 | 3.45 |
| Energy consumptions structure | −10 | 1309.34 | −4.13 | 40189.08 | −3.39 | 10 | 1425.78 | 4.40 | 43096.09 | 3.60 |
| Energy intensity | −10 | 1310.57 | −4.04 | 40226.69 | −3.30 | 10 | 1424.21 | 4.28 | 43052.69 | 3.50 |
| Industrial structure | −10 | 1310.88 | −4.01 | 40228.06 | −3.31 | 10 | 1423.81 | 4.25 | 43051.13 | 3.49 |
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