Research Article

Prediction on Peak Values of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the Chinese Transportation Industry Based on the SVR Model and Scenario Analysis

Table 7

Carbon dioxide emissions of each factor at different change rates.

FactorChange rate (%)Peak value (106 t)Change of the peak value (%)Total carbon dioxide emissions from 2018 to 2050 (106 t)Change of total volume (%)

GDP−101358.13−0.5540610.82−2.37
101420.173.9942988.743.34

Population−101310.10−4.0740216.32−3.32
101424.804.3343066.513.53

Urbanization rate−101311.01−4.0040240.50−3.26
101423.634.2443034.933.45

Energy consumptions structure−101309.34−4.1340189.08−3.39
101425.784.4043096.093.60

Energy intensity−101310.57−4.0440226.69−3.30
101424.214.2843052.693.50

Industrial structure−101310.88−4.0140228.06−3.31
101423.814.2543051.133.49