Exploring the Application of the Linear Poisson Autoregressive Model for Analyzing the Dynamic Impact of Traffic Laws on Fatal Traffic Accident Frequency

Table 4

Fatal traffic accident analysis (long-run effect).

Variable	PAR (2)		NB
	Long-run multiplier	Percentage change in mean (%)	Long-run multiplier	Percentage change in mean (%)
Belt law	−105.137	−15.00	−155.447	−20.15
DUI toughened penalties	−186.371	−25.65	−309.795	−35.92
Red running	201.172	30.69	112.659	17.59
Alcohol law	−146.495	−20.63	−153.839	−19.83