Research Article
Investigation of Contributing Factors to Traffic Crashes and Violations: A Random Parameter Multinomial Logit Approach
Table 4
Estimation results of the random parameters multinomial logit model for the seriousness of traffic violations.
| Characteristic | Minor violation | Serious violation | Crash with violations | Parameter estimate | Standard deviation | Parameter estimate | Standard deviation | Parameter estimate | Standard deviation |
| Constant | −0.368 | 0.033 | 2.600 | 0.041 | 2.423 | 0.574 | (Std. dev. constant) | | | | | 1.238 | 0.557 |
| Gender | Female | 0.446 | 0.057 | −0.869 | 0.046 | −0.917 | 0.487 | (Std. dev. female) | | | | | 0.773 | 0.329 |
| Race/ethnicity | African American | | | 1.537 | 0.391 | | | (Std. dev. African American) | | | 3.013 | 0.565 | | | Hispanic | 0.112 | 0.044 | | | | |
| Time period factors | Afternoon peak (4–6 p.m.) | 0.343 | 0.068 | | | | | Evening (6–10 p.m.) | | | | | 0.519 | 0.105 |
| Seasonal factors | Fall | | | −0.207 | 0.042 | | |
| Commute mode | The percentage of driving to work of the driver’s residence area (ZIP) | 0.151 | 0.025 | 0.228 | 0.019 | | |
| Commute travel time | Mean travel time to work of the driver’s residence area | 0.074 | 0.026 | 0.043 | 0.020 | | |
| Household income | Median household income of the driver’s residence area | −0.241 | 0.027 | | | | |
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Note., , and indicate significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. Std. dev.: standard deviation. |