Exploring Influencing Factors of Intercity Mode Choice from View of Entire Travel Chain

Table 4

Parameter estimation from Bayesian mixed multinomial logit model.

Variable	Airplane					HSR					Express bus
	Mean	S.D.	2.50%	97.50%	OR	Mean	S.D.	2.50%	97.50%	OR	Mean	S.D.	2.50%	97.50%	OR
Age	0.3070	0.1304	0.0464	0.5684	1.3593	0.2048	0.0740	0.0612	0.3474	1.2272
Car ownership (yes vs. no)	0.9020	0.2431	0.4584	1.3964	2.4646	0.3579	0.0398	0.2802	0.4325	1.4304	0.9101	0.1385	0.6224	1.1830	2.4845
Ticket purchasing method (online vs. Counter)	1.3875	0.6436	0.1475	2.7089	4.0047	0.7536	0.1725	0.4197	1.0904	2.1245
Std. dev. of parameter distribution	0.8358	1.5022	0.0079	6.2454
Travel purpose (mandatory vs leisure)	1.0889	0.3387	0.4473	1.7911	2.9710
Travel distance	0.0021	0.0004	0.0014	0.0027	1.0021						−0.0018	0.0003	−0.0023	−0.0011	0.9982
Standardized intercity travel cost	0.0884	0.0072	0.0750	0.1030	1.0924	0.0434	0.0053	0.0333	0.0541	1.0443
Standardized intercity travel time	−8.9863	0.4566	−9.8979	−8.1441	0.0001	−1.7690	0.1050	−1.9738	−1.5488	0.1705
Safety						0.5185	0.0667	0.3960	0.6459	1.6794
Comfort	0.5129	0.1139	0.2967	0.7388	1.6702	0.8495	0.3396	0.2216	1.4898	2.3386	−0.4259	0.1230	−0.6948	−0.2041	0.6532
Std. dev. of parameter distribution						0.6738	0.9980	0.0079	3.5664						1.0000
Punctuality	−0.3233	0.1851	−0.6802	0.0520	0.7238	0.5702	0.2443	0.1034	1.0050	1.7687	−0.5349	0.1304	−0.7745	−0.2819	0.5857
Std. dev. of parameter distribution						0.3077	0.4813	0.0067	1.8824
Access time	0.3977	0.1498	0.1160	0.7023	1.4884						−0.3944	0.2017	−0.8375	−0.0453	0.6741
Std. dev. of parameter distribution											0.3375	0.5111	0.0071	1.8689
Egress time	0.8065	0.1656	0.4060	1.0077	2.2401						−0.1981	0.0611	−0.3203	−0.0748	0.8203
Intercept	−11.1867	0.2189	−11.6199	−10.7533	0.0000	−6.0312	0.2060	−6.4523	−5.6564	0.0024	4.0469	0.1027	3.8521	4.2625	57.2187
DIC	1240.95