Research Article
Highway Travel Time Prediction of Segments Based on ANPR Data considering Traffic Diversion
Table 8
Short-term prediction error results of different methods.
| Methods | Error | 5 min | 10 min | 15 min |
| XGBoost | RMSE | 11.1040 | 12.2234 | 12.9625 | MAE | 3.0112 | 3.3359 | 3.4920 | MAPE (%) | 14.6106 | 16.2274 | 16.7007 |
| LR | RMSE | 10.9548 | 11.9806 | 12.6909 | MAE | 3.7284 | 4.3713 | 4.7821 | MAPE (%) | 22.1522 | 25.7278 | 27.8272 |
| SARIMA | RMSE | 10.0307 | 11.2200 | 11.9780 | MAE | 2.6366 | 3.1975 | 3.5113 | MAPE (%) | 15.7659 | 18.9068 | 20.3997 |
| CNNs | RMSE | 11.8657 | 12.4348 | 12.8615 | MAE | 5.8780 | 5.7638 | 5.6719 | MAPE (%) | 35.5655 | 34.3175 | 33.2884 |
| LSTM-ST | RMSE | 13.8093 | 13.9326 | 14.0234 | MAE | 4.5960 | 4.6382 | 4.6554 | MAPE (%) | 23.0800 | 23.3385 | 23.4371 |
| LSTM-CNN | RMSE | 8.4288 | 9.7757 | 10.7455 | MAE | 1.7900 | 2.3881 | 2.7997 | MAPE (%) | 10.3360 | 13.1795 | 14.9992 |
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