Forecasting Passenger Flow Distribution on Holidays for Urban Rail Transit Based on Destination Choice Behavior Analysis

Table 6

Statistics of model deviation in the New Year’s Day.

Case1: the New Year’s Day	SCG	SVM	BP	RBF	The proposed model
Maximum of absolute error (person trips)	5071	6099	6240	5932	2506
Mean absolute error (person trips)	130.22	140.86	139.08	157.27	54.63
Proportion of absolute errors over 50 trips (%)	50.13	56.12	57.57	66.3	26.90
Proportion of absolute errors over 100 trips (%)	31.31	31.83	35.71	39.29	14.78
Proportion of absolute errors over 200 trips (%)	16.27	15.17	14.74	17.15	5.90
Proportion of relative error over 20% (%)	84.60	85.11	84.00	85.95	62.74
Proportion of relative error over 50% (%)	66.78	64.34	64.08	68.37	33.17
Proportion of relative error over 100% (%)	40.45	37.55	45.70	46.07	16.39