Estimating the Potential Modal Split of Any Future Mode Using Revealed Preference Data

Table 10

Calculated modal split electric step with sensitivity analysis ranges between brackets based on a 20% variation of all mode attributes.

Mode	Current modal split (%)	Future modal split
		MNL (%)	NL (in nest with bicycle) (%)
Car	33	20 (17–20)	24 (20–24)
Carpool	14	9.5 (8.8–9.5)	9.7 (8.9–9.7)
Transit	4.9	2.1 (1.8–2.1)	2.4 (2.0–2.4)
Cycle	30	19 (17–19)	18 (16–18)
Walk	18	13 (12–13)	14 (13–14)
Shared electric step	—	37 (37–44)	33 (33–40)