Estimating the Potential Modal Split of Any Future Mode Using Revealed Preference Data

Table 7

Results modal split double mode (“red/blue bus paradox”).

	Original (%)	Car 2x (%)	Carpool 2x (%)	Transit 2x (%)	Cycle 2x (%)	Walk 2x (%)
Car	33	40	30	32	30	33
Carpool	14	11	20	13	12	13
Transit	4.9	4.0	4.4	7.8	3.9	4.8
Cycle	30	27	28	29	37	29
Walk	18	18	18	18	18	19
Max. difference between original and 2x		6.7	6.4	2.8	7.5	1.3