Research Article

Do Expressway Interchanges Increase Crash Injury Severities? Insights Using Temporal Instability and Unobserved Heterogeneity

Table 11

The marginal effect of significance variables in IAC and NIAC based on random parameter logit model with heterogeneity in mean and variance.

VariableNo injuryMinor injurySevere injury
201720182019201720182019201720182019

Driver characteristics
Improper action (1 if improper action, 0 otherwise)−(0.0076)−(−0.0078)−(0.0002)

Vehicle characteristics
Single-vehicle indicator (1 if the number of vehicles involved in the crash is 1, 0 otherwise)−(0.0104)−(0.0112)−(0.0208)−(0.0015)−(0.0010)−(−0.0064)−(−0.0119)−(−0.0122)(−0.0144)
Two-vehicle indicator (1 if the number of vehicles involved in the crash is 2, 0 otherwise)−(0.0227)−(−0.0245)−(0.0018)
Multivehicle indicator (1: the total number of vehicles in the crash is more than 2, otherwise 0)−0.0191 (−0.0097)−0.0236 (−0.0134)−0.0007 (0.0071)0.0185 (0.0126)0.0198 (0.0026)0.0050 (0.0008)
Minibus (1 if the van involved in the crash, otherwise 0)−(−0.0037)−(0.0038)−(−0.0001)
Bus (1 if the bus involved in crash, otherwise 0)−(−0.0035)−(0.0025)−(0.0010)
Van (1 if the minibus involved in crash, otherwise 0)−(−0.0018)−(−0.0002)−(0.0020)
Truck (1: the truck involved in crash, otherwise 0)−(−0.0045)−0.0234 (−)−(−0.0010)0.0256 (−)−(0.0055)−0.0022 (−)
Heavy truck (1: the heavy truck involved in crash, otherwise 0)−(−0.0121)−(0.0131)−(−0.0010)

Road characteristics
: radius of the horizontal curve (103 m)−0.0480 (−)−0.0053 (−)0.0533 (−)
: length of the horizontal curve (103 m)−(−0.0462)−(−0.0166)−(0.0484)−(0.0215)−(−0.0022)−(−0.0049)
: length of the longitudinal slope corresponding to the minimum grade (m)−(0.0053)−(0.0004)−(−0.0057)
: length of the longitudinal slope corresponding to the maximum grade (m)−(0.0200)−(0.0642)−(−0.0206)−(−0.0673)−(0.0006)−(0.0031)

Environmental characteristics
Sunny (1: the weather is sunny, otherwise 0)−(−0.0039)−(−0.0006)−(0.0045)
Cloudy (1: the weather is cloudy, otherwise 0)−(−0.0223)−(0.0232)−(−0.0009)
Rainy (1: the weather is rainy, otherwise 0)−(−0.0040)−(−0.0002)−(0.0042)
Snowy (1: the weather is snowy, otherwise 0)−(−0.0055)−(0.0058)−(−0.0003)
Icy road (1: the road is icy, otherwise 0)−0.0098 (−)−0.0001 (−)0.0099 (−)

Time characteristics
Monday (1: occurs on Monday, otherwise 0)−(−0.0084)−(−0.0012)−(0.0096)
Tuesday (1: occurs on Tuesday, otherwise 0)−0.0298 (−)−0.0147 (−)0.0136 (−)−0.0002 (−)0.0162 (−)0.0149 (−)
Wednesday (1: occurs on Wednesday, otherwise 0)−(−0.0081)−(−0.0072)−(−0.0066)−(−0.0010)−(−0.0009)−(−0.0003)−(0.0091)−(0.0081)−(0.0069)
Early morning (1: occurs from 0 : 00 to 5 : 59, otherwise 0)−(−0.0246)−0.0719 (−0.0125)−(−0.0035)−0.0100 (−0.0018)−(0.0281)0.0819 (0.0143)
Afternoon (1: occurs from 12 : 00 to 17 : 59, otherwise 0)−(0.0056)−(0.0098)−(−0.0057)−(−0.0100)−(0.0001)−(0.0002)
Night (1: occurs from 18 : 00–23 : 59, otherwise 0)−0.0211 (−0.0090)−0.0354 (0.0060)−0.0023 (−0.0010)−0.0047 (−0.0062)0.0235 (0.0100)0.0402 (0.0002)
Spring (1: occurs in spring, otherwise, 0)−(0.0074)−(−0.0083)−(−0.0061)−(−0.0004)−(−0.0013)−(0.0087)
Summer (1: occurs in summer, otherwise 0)−(−0.0046)−(0.0044)−(0.0002)
Winter (1: occurs in winter, otherwise 0)−0.0703 (−0.0121)−(−0.0051)−0.0056 (−)0.0474 (0.0085)−(−0.0006)0.0041 (−)0.0229 (0.0036)−(0.0057)0.0015 (−)

Traffic characteristics
AADT (annual mean daily traffic volume, pcu/d)0.1504 (0.0961)0.1657 (0.0713)0.0983 (0.0599)−0.1425 (−0.0848)−0.1493 (−0.0082)−0.0974 (−0.0589)−0.0079 (−0.0113)−0.0165 (−0.0631)−0.0009 (−0.0010)

Crash characteristics
Sideswipe (1: the crash type is sideswipe, otherwise 0)−(−0.0012)−(−0.0076)−(−0.0001)−(0.0066)−(0.0013)−(0.0010)
Hit fixed object (1: the crash type is hitting fixed object, otherwise 0)−(0.0027)−(0.0004)−(−0.0031)
Rear-end collision (1: the crash type is rear-end collision, otherwise 0)−(−0.0055)−(0.0056)−(−0.0001)
Other crash types (1: other crash types, otherwise 0)−(0.0196)−0.0705 (−)−(−0.0206)0.0790 (−)−(0.0010)−0.0085 (−)
EMS greater than 60 minutes (1: rescue response time greater than 60 minutes, otherwise 0)−(−0.0154)−(−0.0020)−(0.0174)

Marginal effects of NIAC are in parentheses.