Research Article
Two Novel Grey System Models and Their Applications on Landslide Forecasting
Table 4
The result of landslide forecasting in BaZiMen area.
| YYYYMM | Actual value | GM() | Actual value + 100 | GM() | GGM() |
| 2004.04 | 140.7 | 140.7 | 240.7 | 240.7 | 240.7 | 2004.05 | 144.4 | 152.72 | 244.4 | 249.79 | 252.72 | 2004.06 | 177.8 | 180.43 | 277.8 | 280.41 | 280.43 | 2004.07 | 218.5 | 213.17 | 318.5 | 314.78 | 313.17 | 2004.08 | 270.4 | 251.85 | 370.4 | 353.36 | 351.85 | 2004.09 | 285.2 | 297.54 | 385.2 | 396.68 | 397.54 | MAPE | ā | 0.69 | ā | 0.40 | 0.46 | 2004.10 | 300.0 | 351.53 | 400.0 | 445.30 | 451.53 |
|
|