Research Article

A Metabolism-Based Interpretable Machine Learning Prediction Model for Diabetic Retinopathy Risk: A Cross-Sectional Study in Chinese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Table 2

Discriminant evaluation of predictive models.

ModelAccuracyROCAUC (95% CI) valueaPRAUC (95% CI) valueb

LR model 187.42%0.73 (0.68, 0.74)Ref0.30 (0.24, 0.32)Ref
XGBoost model 183.87%0.64 (0.61, 0.72).0230.26 (0.21, 0.39).312
LR model 287.10%0.78 (0.73, 0.81).1560.34 (0.27, 0.40).283
XGBoost model 288.39%0.82 (0.75, 0.82).0060.44 (0.31, 0.47)<.001

Notes: features in model 1: sex, age, duration of type 2 diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and total cholesterol. Features in model 2: duration of type 2 diabetes, age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, alanine, citrulline, glutamate, ornithine, phenylalanine, threonine, tyrosine, C18 : 1, C18 : 1OH, and C18 : 2. aDelong test for area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic curve. bDelong test for area under the curve of precision recall curve. Abbreviations: ROC: receiver operating characteristic; AUC: area under the curve; CI; confidence interval; PR: precision recall; LR: logistic regression; XGBoost: extreme gradient boosting; Ref: reference.