Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region

Table 4

Prediction of parameter under three scenarios.

Province	Years	2000–2020	2005–2020	2010–2020
Shandong	2021–2025	−0.009	−0.040	−0.090
	2026–2030	−0.006	−0.037	−0.087
	2031–2035	−0.003	−0.034	−0.084
	2036–2040	0	−0.031	−0.081
	2041–2045	0.003	−0.029	−0.079
	2046–2050	0.006	−0.026	−0.076
Liaoning	2021–2025	−0.008	−0.004	0.008
	2026–2030	−0.004	0	0.012
	2031–2035	0	0.004	0.016
	2036–2040	0.004	0.008	0.02
	2041–2045	0.008	0.012	0.022
	2046–2050	0.012	0.016	0.024
Hebei	2021–2025	−0.004	0.001	0.001
	2026–2030	−0.002	0.003	0.003
	2031–2035	0	0.005	0.005
	2036–2040	0.002	0.007	0.007
	2041–2045	0.004	0.009	0.009
	2046–2050	0.006	0.011	0.011
Shanxi	2021–2025	−0.008	−0.001	0.001
	2026–2030	−0.005	0.002	0.002
	2031–2035	−0.002	0.005	0.003
	2036–2040	0.001	0.008	0.004
	2041–2045	0.004	0.011	0.005
	2046–2050	0.007	0.014	0.006
Inner Mongolia	2021–2025	−0.003	−0.002	−0.008
	2026–2030	−0.001	0	−0.006
	2031–2035	0.001	0.002	−0.004
	2036–2040	0.003	0.004	−0.002
	2041–2045	0.005	0.006	0
	2046–2050	0.007	0.008	0.002
Beijing	2021–2025	0.006	0.006	0.01
	2026–2030	0.007	0.007	0.011
	2031–2035	0.008	0.008	0.012
	2036–2040	0.009	0.009	0.013
	2041–2045	0.010	0.010	0.014
	2046–2050	0.011	0.011	0.015
Tianjin	2021–2025	−0.001	−0.002	−0.002
	2026–2030	0	−0.001	0
	2031–2035	0.001	0	0.002
	2036–2040	0.002	0.001	0.004
	2041–2045	0.003	0.002	0.006
	2046–2050	0.004	0.003	0.008