Research Article
Fuzzy Reliability Analysis of the COVID-19 Mortality Rate Using a New Modified Kies Kumaraswamy Model
Table 2
RB and MSE of the MLE, MPS, CVM, AD, and Bayesian estimate for MKKu distribution for
.
| | MLE | MPS | CVM | AD | Bayesian | | | | RB | MSE | RB | MSE | RB | MSE | RB | MSE | RB | MSE |
| 0.5 | 30 | | 0.1056 | 0.0702 | 0.2361 | 0.0934 | 0.1328 | 0.0285 | 0.1148 | 0.0430 | 0.0168 | 0.0082 | | 0.1755 | 0.0944 | −0.0889 | 0.0821 | −0.0419 | 0.0248 | 0.0115 | 0.0510 | 0.0070 | 0.0135 | | 0.2393 | 0.1891 | −0.0463 | 0.1191 | 0.0451 | 0.0635 | 0.0927 | 0.1105 | −0.0057 | 0.0152 | | −0.9078 | 5.716E − 05 | −0.9102 | 0.0000 | −0.9126 | 0.0001 | −0.9103 | 0.0001 | −0.9120 | 3.454E − 05 | | −0.8690 | 1.197E − 04 | −0.8717 | 0.0001 | −0.8764 | 0.0002 | −0.8726 | 0.0001 | −0.8747 | 7.104E − 05 | | −0.8779 | 2.157E − 04 | −0.8796 | 0.0002 | −0.8851 | 0.0004 | −0.8811 | 0.0002 | −0.8828 | 1.261E − 04 | 80 | | 0.0201 | 0.0327 | 0.1421 | 0.0412 | 0.0544 | 0.0147 | 0.0518 | 0.0186 | 0.0230 | 0.0048 | | 0.1668 | 0.0732 | −0.0729 | 0.0472 | 0.0040 | 0.0218 | 0.0135 | 0.0276 | 0.0001 | 0.0077 | | 0.2003 | 0.1465 | −0.0479 | 0.0709 | 0.0444 | 0.0479 | 0.0469 | 0.0517 | −0.0124 | 0.0098 | | −0.9086 | 1.574E − 05 | −0.9093 | 0.0000 | −0.9100 | 0.0000 | −0.9097 | 0.0000 | −0.9102 | 1.368E − 05 | | −0.8697 | 3.170E − 05 | −0.8705 | 0.0000 | −0.8720 | 0.0000 | −0.8713 | 0.0000 | −0.8720 | 2.766E − 05 | | −0.8779 | 5.507E − 05 | −0.8784 | 0.0001 | −0.8804 | 0.0001 | −0.8795 | 0.0001 | −0.8801 | 4.820E − 05 | 150 | | 0.0607 | 0.0229 | 0.1244 | 0.0300 | 0.0340 | 0.0050 | 0.0504 | 0.0176 | 0.0118 | 0.0019 | | 0.0356 | 0.0335 | −0.0708 | 0.0368 | −0.0107 | 0.0062 | 0.0213 | 0.0299 | 0.0024 | 0.0034 | | 0.0459 | 0.0523 | −0.0545 | 0.0525 | −0.0014 | 0.0116 | 0.0460 | 0.0565 | −0.0058 | 0.0046 | | −0.9085 | 1.054E − 05 | −0.9088 | 0.0000 | −0.9098 | 0.0000 | −0.9091 | 0.0000 | −0.9100 | 7.210E − 06 | | −0.8695 | 2.049E − 05 | −0.8698 | 0.0000 | −0.8716 | 0.0000 | −0.8705 | 0.0000 | −0.8717 | 1.443E − 05 | | −0.8778 | 3.383E − 05 | −0.8778 | 0.0000 | −0.8799 | 0.0000 | −0.8787 | 0.0000 | −0.8797 | 2.480E − 05 |
| 3 | 30 | | 0.0571 | 0.0196 | 0.0276 | 0.0168 | 0.0644 | 0.0135 | 0.0493 | 0.0121 | 0.0212 | 0.0066 | | 0.0459 | 0.5967 | −0.0533 | 0.4173 | −0.0095 | 0.0766 | −0.0248 | 0.1783 | −0.0022 | 0.0249 | | 0.1003 | 0.0658 | −0.0267 | 0.0387 | 0.0576 | 0.0505 | 0.0214 | 0.0395 | −0.0091 | 0.0155 | | −0.8326 | 0.0001 | −0.8459 | 0.0001 | −0.8324 | 0.0002 | −0.8374 | 0.0001 | −0.8386 | 0.0001 | | −0.9594 | 0.0002 | −0.9627 | 0.0002 | −0.9593 | 0.0004 | −0.9606 | 0.0002 | −0.9609 | 0.0002 | | −0.7660 | 0.0005 | −0.7852 | 0.0004 | −0.7658 | 0.0008 | −0.7729 | 0.0005 | −0.7748 | 0.0004 | 80 | | 0.0384 | 0.0155 | 0.0089 | 0.0050 | 0.0187 | 0.0052 | 0.0184 | 0.0051 | 0.0070 | 0.0030 | | 0.0387 | 0.9714 | −0.0347 | 0.1697 | 0.0065 | 0.0661 | −0.0059 | 0.1168 | 0.0007 | 0.0194 | | 0.0559 | 0.0538 | −0.0354 | 0.0134 | 0.0239 | 0.0200 | 0.0037 | 0.0150 | −0.0025 | 0.0077 | | −0.8369 | 3.484E − 05 | −0.8430 | 0.0000 | −0.8366 | 0.0001 | −0.8383 | 0.0000 | −0.8386 | 3.291E − 05 | | −0.9605 | 7.956E − 05 | −0.9620 | 0.0001 | −0.9604 | 0.0001 | −0.9608 | 0.0001 | −0.9609 | 7.884E − 05 | | −0.7726 | 1.544E − 04 | −0.7814 | 0.0002 | −0.7722 | 0.0002 | −0.7746 | 0.0002 | −0.7752 | 1.469E − 04 | 150 | | 0.0180 | 0.0049 | 0.0029 | 0.0025 | 0.0207 | 0.0031 | 0.0194 | 0.0027 | 0.0044 | 0.0015 | | 0.0056 | 0.2288 | −0.0232 | 0.0877 | −0.0107 | 0.0529 | −0.0190 | 0.0501 | −0.0017 | 0.0080 | | 0.0205 | 0.0145 | −0.0163 | 0.0079 | 0.0072 | 0.0095 | −0.0049 | 0.0074 | 0.0054 | 0.0040 | | −0.8369 | 1.899E − 05 | −0.8409 | 2.022E − 05 | −0.8367 | 3.140E − 05 | −0.8377 | 2.241E − 05 | −0.8378 | 1.953E − 05 | | −0.9605 | 4.338E − 05 | −0.9615 | 4.540E − 05 | −0.9604 | 7.036E − 05 | −0.9607 | 5.058E − 05 | −0.9607 | 4.404E − 05 | | −0.7728 | 8.393E − 05 | −0.7786 | 8.635E − 05 | −0.7725 | 1.333E − 04 | −0.7740 | 9.664E − 05 | −0.7742 | 8.395E − 05 |
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