Research Article
A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasted Mortality Rate under Normal Conditions and the COVID-19 Excess Mortality Rate in Malaysia
Table 8
Results of the goodness-of-fit measures for the women’s mortality.
| | Models | Measures | Hold-out | Repeated hold-out | LOOCV |
| | KT | MAPE (%) | 74.1485 | 71.3582 | 66.8255 | | MAE | 2.1718 × 10−03 | 2.2875 × 10−03 | 2.5198 × 10−03 | | SSE | 2.2437 × 10−04 | 2.8220 × 10−04 | 2.6727 × 10−04 | | MSE | 1.3198 × 10−05 | 1.6635 × 10−05 | 1.5722 × 10−05 |
| | WT | MAPE (%) | 14.342 | 13.8261 | 16.6043 | | MAE | 2.5703 × 10−03 | 2.4004 × 10−03 | 2.5159 × 10−03 | | SSE | 7.2283 × 10−04 | 6.1679 × 10−04 | 7.5042 × 10−04 | | MSE | 4.2519 × 10−05 | 3.6282 × 10−05 | 4.4142 × 10−05 |
| | RP | MAPE (%) | 5.6581 | 5.9980 | 10.3610 | | MAE | 1.0511 × 10−03 | 1.0693 × 10−03 | 1.4759 × 10−03 | | SSE | 1.5562 × 10−04 | 1.6674 × 10−04 | 2.8049 × 10−04 | | MSE | 9.1539 × 10−06 | 9.8081 × 10−06 | 1.6500 × 10−05 |
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Note: bold values indicate the lowest measurements from their respective rows.
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