Research Article

Stochastic Energy Performance Evaluation Using a Bayesian Approach

Table 3

Summary of posterior results from all models.

DistributionsConstantGDPRPEASCSVAISSVASSTIME

Half normal0.0254.790.00041−0.02170.00012−0.0161−0.00270.0016
Median7.930.00054−0.00170.000370.00120.00210.0071
0.97510.830.00069−0.00060.000510.01650.00930.0103

Truncated normal0.0255.430.00051−0.02690.00034−0.0159−0.00850.0048
Median8.110.00063−0.00250.000360.00120.00630.0068
0.97510.930.00073−0.00090.000970.02300.00980.0091

Exponential0.0255.750.00051−0.02690.00001−0.0127−0.00690.0069
Median8.380.00063−0.00250.000030.00330.00170.0074
97.50%11.240.00073−0.00090.000050.01730.00760.0096

Gamma2.50%5.690.00051−0.02690.00023−0.0187−0.00320.0021
Median8.210.00063−0.00250.000320.00860.00680.0042
97.50%11.030.00081−0.00070.000590.01810.00990.0079