Research Article
Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models
Table 10
Estimated parameters and their standard errors of the best models among the classical ARIMA and kth MA-ARIMA fitting recovery cases in each country.
| Country | Model | Coeff. | AR | MA | | | | | | | | |
| KSA | 3rd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,2) | Value | 1.1583 | −0.8603 | - | - | −1.1003 | 0.6673 | - | - | s.e. | 0.066 | 0.061 | - | - | 0.099 | 0.101 | - | - | UAE | 4th SMA-ARIMA (0,1,4) | Value | - | - | - | - | 0.4803 | 0.4363 | 0.4013 | −0.5553 | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.042 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.043 | Kuwait | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | Value | - | - | - | - | 0.5853 | 0.5943 | −0.4083 | - | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.048 | 0.049 | 0.048 | - | Qatar | 3rd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3) | Value | 1.3723 | −0.6663 | - | - | −1.6963 | 1.4043 | −0.4643 | - | s.e. | 0.085 | 0.072 | - | - | 0.089 | 0.092 | 0.062 | - | Bahrain | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (1,1,4) | Value | 0.6783 | - | - | - | −0.6173 | 0.1203 | −0.8913 | 0.7213 | s.e. | 0.096 | - | - | - | 0.075 | 0.029 | 0.032 | 0.057 |
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Note.1Significant at the 0.10 level. 2Significant at the 0.05 level. 3Significant at the 0.01 level.
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