Research Article
Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models
Table 11
Estimated parameters and their standard errors of the best models among the classical ARIMA and kth MA-ARIMA fitting death cases in each country.
| Country | Model | Coeff. | AR | MA | | | | | | | | |
| KSA | 2nd SMA-ARIMA (3,1,1) | Value | −0.5353 | −0.0821 | −0.1513 | - | 1.0003 | - | - | - | s.e. | 0.054 | 0.048 | 0.054 | - | 0.009 | - | - | - | UAE | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | Value | - | - | - | - | 0.3293 | 0.2913 | -0.6803 | - | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.040 | 0.041 | 0.041 | - | Kuwait | 4th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3) | Value | 1.1043 | -0.7053 | - | - | −0.9473 | 0.5173 | −0.1171 | - | s.e. | 0.090 | 0.111 | - | - | 0.101 | 0.131 | 0.067 | - | Qatar | 3rd WMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | Value | - | - | - | - | −0.2553 | −0.2183 | −0.2523 | - | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.051 | 0.060 | 0.054 | - | Bahrain | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | Value | - | - | - | - | 0.1263 | 0.1583 | −0.8503 | - | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.029 | 0.029 | 0.029 | - | Oman | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | Value | - | - | - | - | 0.17893 | 0.1593 | −0.8193 | - | s.e. | - | - | - | - | 0.0294 | 0.034 | 0.0339 | - |
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Note.1Significant at the 0.10 level. 2Significant at the 0.05 level. 3Significant at the 0.01 level.
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