Research Article
Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models
Table 12
Forecast values for daily COVID-19 confirmed cases from 01/02/2021 to 10/02/2021 based on the best models in each country.
| Date | KSA | UAE | Kuwait | Qatar | Bahrain | Oman | 2nd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3) | Cubic model | 4th WMA-ARIMA (3,1,2) | 4th-degree polynomial model | 5th EWMA-ARIMA (4,1,1) | 4th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,2) |
| 01/02/2021 | 246.95 | 3357.44 | 671.96 | 273.62 | 534.66 | 215.8 | 02/02/2021 | 248.79 | 3397.57 | 602.63 | 272.83 | 525.48 | 187.96 | 03/02/2021 | 248.07 | 3438.08 | 636.45 | 271.86 | 507.47 | 183.56 | 04/02/2021 | 253.21 | 3478.95 | 641.92 | 270.71 | 464.40 | 185.23 | 05/02/2021 | 250.57 | 3520.20 | 634.76 | 269.36 | 515.94 | 190.38 | 06/02/2021 | 248.43 | 3561.81 | 593.14 | 267.81 | 514.11 | 192.97 | 07/02/2021 | 249.49 | 3603.81 | 587.51 | 266.06 | 502.33 | 197.07 | 08/02/2021 | 251.47 | 3646.18 | 602.66 | 264.10 | 498.86 | 196.56 | 09/02/2021 | 250.52 | 3688.93 | 628.47 | 261.93 | 507.29 | 192.82 | 10/02/2021 | 249.18 | 3732.06 | 642.63 | 259.54 | 502.61 | 189.21 |
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