Research Article
Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models
Table 14
Forecast values for daily COVID-19 death cases from 01/02/2021 to 10/02/2021 based on the best models in each country.
| Date | KSA | UAE | Kuwait | Qatar | Bahrain | Oman | 2nd SMA-ARIMA (3,1,1) | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | 4th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3) | 3rd WMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) | 3rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3) |
| 01/02/2021 | 3.23 | 16.84 | 0.485 | 0.011 | 2.543 | 0.347 | 02/02/2021 | 3.62 | 5.35 | 1.029 | 0.063 | 1.601 | 2.759 | 03/02/2021 | 3.31 | 6.59 | 0.927 | 0.049 | 1.009 | 0.272 | 04/02/2021 | 3.59 | 16.84 | 0.749 | 0.034 | 2.543 | 0.347 | 05/02/2021 | 3.34 | 5.35 | 0.584 | 0.048 | 1.601 | 2.759 | 06/02/2021 | 3.56 | 6.59 | 0.617 | 0.044 | 1.009 | 0.272 | 07/02/2021 | 3.36 | 16.84 | 0.644 | 0.042 | 2.543 | 0.347 | 08/02/2021 | 3.55 | 5.35 | 0.709 | 0.045 | 1.601 | 2.759 | 09/02/2021 | 3.37 | 6.59 | 0.759 | 0.043 | 1.009 | 0.272 | 10/02/2021 | 3.54 | 16.84 | 0.773 | 0.043 | 2.543 | 0.347 |
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