| Country | Confirmed cases | Recovery cases | Death cases | kth SMA-ARIMA (p,d,q) | RMSE; MAPE | AIC | kth SMA-ARIMA (p,d,q) | RMSE; MAPE | AIC | kth SMA-ARIMA (p,d,q) | RMSE; MAPE | AIC |
| KSA | 2-(2,1,3) | 23.58; 11.19 | 3890.60 | 3-(1,1,1) | 30.27; 11.99 | 4662.50 | 2-(3,1,1) | 1.34; 24.28 | 1259.24 | UAE | 4-(2,1,3) | 295.77; 7.72 | 3589.81 | 4-(0,1,4) | 509.42; 17.89 | 4100.91 | 3-(0,1,3) | 1.441; 25.77 | 518.31 | Kuwait | 3-(0,1,3) | 76.14; 14.78 | 3479.61 | 3-(0,1,3) | 69.75; 14.97 | 3376.99 | 3-(1,1,3) | 0.929; NA | 569.22 | Qatar | 3-(1,1,4) | 32.70; 11.43 | 3287.71 | 3-(3,1,1) | 29.56; 15.96 | 4312.21 | 2-(0,1,2) | 0.427; NA | 563.58 | Bahrain | 4-(2,1,3) | 61.87; 14.47 | 3095.17 | 3-(1,1,4) | 61.75; 18.64 | 3416.48 | 3-(0,1,3) | 0.823; NA | 330.74 | Oman | 4-(0,1,4) | 40.20; 19.21 | 3391.31 | 2-(1,1,3) | 89.62; 48.76 | 3993.75 | 3-(0,1,3) | 1.158; NA | 791.56 |
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