Research Article
Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models
Table 9
Estimated parameters and their standard errors of the best models among the classical ARIMA and kth MA-ARIMA fitting confirmed cases in each country.
| Country | Model | Coeff. | AR | MA | | | | | | | | |
| KSA | 2nd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3) | Value | 0.0151 | −0.7233 | - | - | 0.3703 | 0.7043 | 0.5103 | - | s.e. | 0.008 | 0.0753 | - | - | 0.072 | 0.067 | 0.046 | - | Kuwait | 4th WMA-ARIMA (3,1,2) | Value | 1.3363 | −1.1453 | 0.1452 | - | −1.0903 | 0.8953 | - | - | s.e. | 0.070 | 0.083 | 0.062 | - | 0.0416 | 0.0357 | - | - | Bahrain | 5th EWMA-ARIMA (4,1,1) | Value | −0.6253 | −0.1713 | 0.059 | 0.2533 | 0.5493 | - | - | - | s.e. | 0.162 | 0.064 | 0.068 | 0.052 | 0.164 | - | - | - | Oman | 4th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,2) | Value | 1.1103 | −0.7903 | - | - | −0.8773 | 0.7543 | - | - | s.e. | 0.083 | 0.073 | - | - | 0.091 | 0.063 | - | - |
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Note.1Significant at the 0.10 level. 2Significant at the 0.05 level. 3Significant at the 0.01 level.
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