A Predictive Spatial Model to Quantify the Risk of Air-Travel-Associated Dengue Importation into the United States and Europe

Table 2

Model output and actual reported infections for (a) Europe and (b) the US

(a) Infections for susceptible European countries.

E.U. country	Actual reported infections	Model reported infections
Belgium	25	31
Czech Republic	9	31
Finland	12	40
France	300	247
Germany	204	231
Sweden	61	55
United Kingdom	170	196
Total	781	831

(b) Infections for susceptible U.S. states.

U.S. State	Actual Reported Infections	Model Reported Infections
Hawaii	11	6
Massachusetts	14	12
New York	55	22
Pennsylvania	3	11
Florida	22	24
Georgia	7	16
North Carolina	5	9
Virginia	5	6
Illinois	3	14
Ohio	4	6
Wisconsin	2	4
Minnesota	11	6
Texas	24	20
Arizona	5	4
Nevada	2	7
California	4	22
Oregon	4	4
Washington	6	5
Total	187	196